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I've been at Google for 12 years, and this has not been my experience. While it is a popular narrative, it is by no means dominant, and is fairly specific to individual teams. I got my second promotion leading the Google Maps Desktop Latency team. We demonstrated impact solely by reducing load latency and increasing performance while advocating for latency consciousness across the product space and implementing latency regression tests and monitoring. Google has some of the most complex infrastructure in existence, and there are thousands of engineers that are getting promoted and finding gratification in maintaining and improving this infrastructure.

My experience at Google has been characterized by collaborating with the smartest and most driven people I've ever worked with. And I worked at several companies before Google. I think a side-effect of this personality type is that the engineers themselves want to make a difference, whether through maintaining Google's complex infrastructure or launching new products. And while it may be easier to show impact by launching a new product, it is by no means a problem unique to Google. Startups find it much easier to show impact by launching and buying users, rather than measuring how useful the product actually is.

I have come to believe that, lean-startup style, a good engineer should be able to demonstrate how the work they are doing is important to a company, a product or a product's users. With a little bit of thought around how to show that the work you are doing actually is valuable to your organization's OKRs, you can get promoted doing whatever work appeals to you the most.


> With a little bit of thought around how to show that the work you are doing actually is valuable to your organization's OKRs, you can get promoted doing whatever work appeals to you the most.

If you put yourself in the shoes of an L3 or L4, you know this is not exactly true. Who your manager is and what their priorities are, and how they view the promo process can greatly affect your ability to get a promo. I mean, before you can apply you need to get "strongly exceeds expectations" for two consecutive halves. If you do great work that you think benefits Google, but your manager doesn't think you've sufficiently demonstrated things on the rubric (e.g. "google-quality delivery" or "autonomy") you won't get a promo. Managers also have their own agenda and list of things they need to deliver, so you end up having to work on things they want you to work on, even if they don't help you tick the boxes in the rubric. If you're lucky and get a good manager who helps you play the game, these things aren't problems. If you're well-informed, you know how to bail when you encounter such folks. If you get unlucky or don't wise up to how it works, you can be set back many years in career progress.


I don't see how any of this is specific to Google. Everything you've said here is how companies function. If you want to work on things that are not important to your manager, why should you expect anything? And bad managers exist everywhere.

My point here is that my managers thought the latency of Google Maps was important, doing good work on it got me promoted, it was not a product launch, and things like this are happening all the time across the organization.


Sure. I was just pushing back on the idea that "you can get promoted doing whatever work appeals to you the most." The "dot dot dot" that is required in order to make that work is a lot of luck, because your manager and their incentives factor so heavily into that. You got lucky -- plenty of folks do similar work and don't find as much support.


Reducing latency is mostly easy to measure, has directly understandable implications, is likely (and understood to be likely) quite difficult to pull off on a product like maps. It's basically a perfect promo packet project.

The example given by the author - fixing lots of tiny features in sheets - is the opposite. Difficult to measure, lots of little and difficult to explain implications, sounds kinda easy - many individual items probably are just work.


I disagree. Add a couple of these features, put them behind an experiment flag, and inspect metrics that matter. What usage are they getting? Do users in the experiment use the product more frequently? And for longer periods? If not, perhaps feature parity with Excel is not the highest impact project, despite the feature requests. If you are finding it hard to come up with measures that show impact towards your orgs' OKRs, this is also a signal that your pet project may not be the best thing for you to spend time on in the eyes of your bosses.

At a high level, promo is an incentive that directors and VPs use to keep an org working towards strategic goals. You may disagree with those goals, but that doesn't necessarily mean promo is broken.


Inspect the metrics over what time horizon?

Think about how companies choose between office and google workspace, especially excel v sheets, and the buying process. And think about the industry/function where it matters most - finance. You aren't going to see sheets usage tick up next qtr because you added 5 features that ibankers use. Usage of those feature will slowly go up, and when mixed with 20 other things you'll slowly see more finance users. Hopefully. Maybe Goldman will switch, and others will follow. Whoever is running Sheets is in a long term game. Much of enterprise software is like this. It isn't Facebook where you often get instant feedback.


I guess this works for explicit features, but might not work for omissions, especially the tiny features and bugs.

Small annoyances might add up, and the GP's point is that this incentive system doesn't reward those who try to fix them. Unless... somebody's deranged enough to keep known and fixed bugs in a customer facing product behind an experiment flag to see how a small percentage of unlucky users would react...


I'm going through the Google interview process right now, second round. My interviewer has rescheduled three times in the past week, each with less than 24hrs notice and without a reason given.

Is there a 'safe' space I can give feedback regarding this that doesn't damage my chances of making it through the process?


You need to talk to your recruiter and let them know this is an issue. They are incentivized to hire you and are there to help you and give you a good impression of Google. The recruiter isn’t going to tank your chances of making it through unless you say something that is egregious and a red flag.

Just be straightforward and ask if there’s another interviewer available


Don't. It isn't going to help you or them.

Just roll with it. It's all upside from the interviews. It's largely a good place to work and worth the headaches during interviews. Smile and carry on.


During my interview process, my recruiter was very much my advocate. Have you talked to them honestly about this? It should not hurt you. I'm sorry you're going through this.


I think the weekly post idea really applies to the reader, not the writer. Perhaps you could get around this with a "digest" style of posting. I.e. I can write as many posts as I want, but it will only be published once a week as a digest of posts. This might fit better with human behavior too as it lowers the cost of a single post while still achieving the goal of updating friends on what's happening at a spaced interval.

Anyway, love the idea. Good luck!


Maybe you can only see one post per friend per week in the feed, but then you can click into their profile to see the whole of their posts.


I have nothing to add except I fully second this. Perhaps a counter icon indicating 'other posts exist'


Discuss amongst yourselves.


My understanding is that this is what gain of function research is all about. Accelerated evolution within a lab towards infecting a specific species.

It doesn't have to be crispr introducing reach mutation.


RaTG13 is decades of evolution away from SARS-CoV-2, all over its genome.

You don't get there by splicing an ACE2 spike onto an RaTG13 backbone and passing it through a dozen mice. That gives you something that still looks similar to RaTG13 and infects mice.

The ACE2 spike also looks most similar to a previously unknown ACE2-binding spike protein found in malaysian pangolins.

So WIV would have had to have discovered that pangolin spike-protein, kept it secret, spliced it into an RaTG13 backbone, then not used mice but passed it through a species like that had a human-like ACE2 for a decade and millions of animals.

An alternative hypothesis is that Charles Darwin did that experiment.


Because China has political internment camps.


Can you recommend any resources that lay out this history?


I don't know why this got down voted. I found this extremely helpful and well written. Thank you.


I don't think this fits the analogy. The DNA was/is search tech long before ads came around.

It's like saying Lebron James' DNA is basketball because that's how he makes all his money. In reality, his DNA is his natural athletic abilities. Basketball is something he does well because of it.


Also, some people work harder than others.


News at eleven, "Horatio Alger myth continues to appeal to fairness bias", "Middle class continue to toil under the mindset that they are temporarily embarrassed millionaires".

Raw numbers collected over decades of research disprove this handily. While working hard is a factor, there are other phenomena which will just as easily impair upwards social mobility. There's a reason they call it "poverty trap"

For an introduction, take a gander at Gladwell's books.


Malcom "igon value" Gladwell is probably not the person one wants to cite on an empirical or technical matter.

http://monkeysuncle.stanford.edu/?p=541

  Pinker’s term: “The Igon Value Problem” is a clever play 
  on the Eigenvalue Problem in mathematics.  You see, 
  Gladwell apparently quotes someone referring to an “igon 
  value.” This is clearly a concept he never dealt with 
  himself even though it is a ubiquitous tool in the 
  statistics and decision science about which Gladwell is 
  frequently so critical.  According to Pinker, the Igon 
  Value Problem occurs “when a writer’s education on a 
  topic consists in interviewing an expert,” leading him or 
  her to offering “generalizations that are banal, obtuse 
  or flat wrong.”  In other words, the Igon Value Problem 
  is one of dilettantism. 
As for the Horatio Alger "myth", the modern incarnation is the internet startup. Look at YC. There is just no dispute that smart people working hard can put a few million in the bank after several years of all out toil in the Valley.


>There is just no dispute that smart people working hard can put a few million in the bank after several years of all out toil in the Valley.

This statement is either utterly nonsensical and backed up by nothing or it's circular in nature (i.e. "How do you know they're hard working and smart? Because they put a few million in the bank", "Why were they able to put a few million in the bank? Because they're hard working and smart").


Not that I'm a fan of Gladwell in any respect, but his gaffe shows that he never took linear algebra, which is true of almost everybody who didn't go into hard science or engineering.


"in the valley" suggests that geography matters as much as the smarts and the hard work. What other assumptions have you missed?


He's ridiculing the people who holds the blind belief in the valley startup as a sure way to wealth, not promoting it.


I am well aware of his flaws. I actually placed a higher weight on the accessibility of Gladwell's work. He might not be an economist/sociologist who studied the problem, but the fact that he is able to introduce difficult concepts to a larger audience with his writing is a plus to him and not a minus.


Are you actually under the ridiculously naive impression that hard work = success? I thought that had been satisfactorily disproven years ago.


Thinking smart is a part of working hard. When we say work, we mean something that provides value, not something that requires a lot of physical effort.

I can "work" very hard pushing stones uphill like Sisyphus, and I probably won't get rich as a result.

A major reason why inequality exists is because the work ethic required for long-term thinking and planning is a model of behavior which children acquire from their parents through learning, observation, and imitation. Children from families where parents do not consider long-term goals worthy of pursuit are hugely disadvantaged.


That's a pretty strong statement without any proof to back it up. What is this satisfactory proof that this "has been disproved years ago"?


No, I didn't drop a link farm because I figured most people would already knew this. I mean, it doesn't even pass the common sense test: if hard work = success why aren't most, say, Mexican immigrants loaded?

I suppose it depends on what you mean by success. But by the most common definitions (e.g. being rich) hard work isn't the main factor or even required at all (e.g. inherit millions from your parents requires how much effort? Basically not dying).

I watched my dad hold down two jobs and come home and work into the night providing his family with the things we needed. The first career job I had made more than he's ever made in his life and that job was mostly standing around.

Sadly, how we really wish things were has nothing to do with how they actually are.


For instance, academic success is about 60% socio-economical background, 15% professors, which lets only 25% to individual variation. Similar data can be found in many domains, like the importance of geography on a country economic success, etc.


--wazoox, 2011. I guess these are more 'facts' out of the sky.



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