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Google Fiber plans 5-state growth spurt, biggest since 2015 (reuters.com)
109 points by alphabetting on Aug 10, 2022 | hide | past | favorite | 75 comments



I want to criticize Google Fiber, but I will give them this: they proved gigabit internet was completely possible to offer to consumers directly to the home, inexpensively. They proved there was demand for it, that there was a potential business here.

Yesterday, I had a 1.5Gbps fiber internet installed in my home- not by Google, of course, but by someone who copied their model.

I think that was the point all along. Move everyone forward on this. Force every other ISP to stop resting on their laurels and get to work pushing the boundaries.

Unrelated: the bottleneck on my bandwidth is, for the first time in my life, between my computer and the modem rather than between my modem and the internet. It's 30,000 times faster than my 56k dial-up was in the 90s. This is pretty neat.


Did they prove that? Even demand did they actually prove customers will pay *more* for fiber?

What it proved is that if cable companies offer lower prices than google, and offer 'good enough' speeds. That people will not switch over. Fiber is fast but so is DOSICS4.0. What it showed was that fiber to the house was not a revenue or profit winning strategy, with instead the ISPs using the existing copper coupled with fiber close to the home.

ATT and others recently made a push for fiber to the home, but their DSL was falling behind coax/cable and they were forced to make the switch.

Personally, look at T-Mobile home internet & starlink's growth. We might see cellular internet to the home take over in the next 10 years. My 5G cellular speed is already nearing that of what an 802.11ac wifi network can deliver. Most people are currently fine with 50Mibps, which is well within 5G's capabilities.


I live in San Antonio, a city where Google Fiber has been an option to a good part of the city for many years. When they came to town standard minimum speeds of competitors bumped from 20-50mb/s to 100-300mb/s almost overnight. Meanwhile, my family and friends just a couple of hours away in Houston were stuck with baseline options in that original range for years until AT&T rolled out their own 1gig offering much more recently.

If nothing else they have proved the competition was needed.


I've seen the exact scenario play out in Boise.

In my neighborhood, I was restricted to 100Mbps down for 10 years @ something like $100->150/month. The price was also constantly climbing. The only competitor for my neighborhood offered 40mbps down for $100/month.

The MOMENT a new fiber provider announced they were going to build out to my area, all the sudden 600 down cost them $60/month and the caps went away.

Once the buildout happens in my neighborhood I'm switching anyways out of pure spite.


Google Fiber completely shit the bed in Louisville (KY). The initial announcements did seem to spur more build-out and price cuts among the two incumbents, but even with One Touch Make Ready, Google eschewed the utility poles they were supposed to use, attempted "micro-trenching" which made zero sense in the city's climate and screwed everything up so badly (including creating a massive mess of potholes for the city to clean up) that they just shut the network back down and skipped town.

Unsurprisingly the incumbents are back to their usual complacency and their prices have steadily been on the rise in the couple years since Google Fiber did such a terrible job. It's one thing to shut down Messenger App 2 of 6, it's another thing to just entirely cut and run from an infrastructure project leaving bills behind to the City's taxpayers to pay.


5G doesn't scale: no mobile tech scales. It works well when it's new, and in remote areas where it is not congested, but whatever speed you can pull out of it doesn't work in cities when people use it as a primary internet connection.

The laws of physics have not changed and yet every new mobile iteration cycle someone wants to insist they have.

Starlink is more akin to fixed wifi, which is essentially a point to point link depending on line of sight. That's the one possible game changer here: it's low enough, and the other end is somewhere you're unlikely to be cut off from.

But I suspect even Starlink, at any reasonable satellite density, wouldn't be able to support a city's worth of internet connections - and any reasonable effort to do so would be plain better served by just installing terrestial cables.


I remember 12 years ago, when my phone first got 4G, it was blazing fast. I was getting 50Mbps download speeds. Eventually it slowed down as more people got on the network. Fast forward to today and my phone has 5G. It’s blazing fast. I’m getting 50Mbps download speeds!


> The laws of physics have not changed and yet every new mobile iteration cycle someone wants to insist they have.

MIMO gets past Nyquist and directional antennas can be added in finer granularity as more users come online (they do this for home LTE, not offering until adding more directional transmitters).


The relevant underlying theory here is not by Nyquist, but by Shannon: data rate (bits per second) = bandwidth (hertz) × log2(1 + signal power / noise power). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Channel_capacity#Example_appli...


Sure: but the point is that whatever tricks you can pull, you're just slightly bumping the capacity of what is fundamentally a shared channel.

We already have ubiquitous wireless internet: it's wifi. And it gets faster every year, provided we deploy a base station every 10m with fiver backhaul (aka your regular home internet connection).


Directional can scale enormously vs omni directional. And MIMO can scale to a ton of antennas, especially in something like home internet where device size isn't a limit.


Do you think it's practical to put dozens of antennas on every residential property?

That's the point: with enough effort you can make any sort of wireless link pretty arbitrarily large and more "wire-like". At an extremely disproportionate increase in cost of equipment and sensitivity of antennas to positioning.

But now you're competing with the installation costs of fixed cabling anyway - we're not talking about small portable devices any more which a consumer puts "wherever" in their house. We're talking large fixed installations which need to be aimed and calibrated correctly, and consume substantial power (the Starlink rectenna for example is not a low power device).

The moment you've got skilled labor having to come out to the property you've lost: it's just as easy for the skilled labor to install fixed line cabling, as well as less disruptive to the home owner and it is very likely a lot cheaper. Our cities are well setup to bring things into people's homes - we have water, gas, electricity lines that need to go everywhere. The cost is not in the device, it's in the labor.


> Do you think it's practical to put dozens of antennas on every residential property?

Yes, high end cellphones already have 8x8 mu-MIMO. It can be in an array and isn't like putting 12 separate antennas in different places on your roof or anything. Starlink (phased array, different tech) has hundreds of antennas (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOmdQnIlnRo&t=36m30s).

You might be thinking of like TV antennas where they often were much bigger due to the longer wavelengths involved in VHF.

Even if it were big, many many rural homes used to have those crazy big 80s/early 90s c-band satellite dishes just to get more TV channels, and for someone with a poor internet connection I could see them even putting something like that big up if it were required.


> The laws of physics have not changed and yet every new mobile iteration cycle someone wants to insist they have.

What is the actual physical limit for the network bandwidth for the available frequency bands? Have we reached it in congested cities?


There's no real physical limit right now because we have a LOT of mmWave frequency up in the 26, 28, 39, and 41GHz bands. The problem is that the higher the frequency the less propagation you get, the more often you need a base station, the more the network will cost.

The problem on the low band is that you can eventually you get to a point where the cell is overloaded and you're at capacity but still you can throw in another cell and/or split the sectors up. Which, again, costs money.

The problem is essentially economic, not technical.


Starlink has been very clear that it won't scale for most urban areas.


What happened was that everywhere Google Fiber went, the big ISPs would suddenly offer competitive pricing and service (which of course they could have done all along), which meant it was hard to get customers.

Also, they would fight tooth and nail to prevent Google from being able to actually build the infrastructure. One way was to make it needlessly onerous, slow, and expensive to access utility poles.

This is all straight from the Standard Oil playbook.


>Also, they would fight tooth and nail to prevent Google from being able to actually build the infrastructure. One way was to make it needlessly onerous, slow, and expensive to access utility poles.

It's funny how Americas look down on "third world" countries as being hopelessly corrupt, when in reality America is just as corrupt as any of them. In highly developed nations with rule of law, they don't have these problems.


I have Google Fiber, and I can honestly say that gigabit speeds are largely useless, most websites you connect to and download from are going to bottleneck you at way lower speeds with their upload throttling. It's exciting when I actually get to download things at unrestricted speeds.

So why do I stick with a $70/mo service that I can barely utilize over "good enough" speeds that I wouldn't notice the difference of for $10-20 less per month? Reliability, and a good business model. I had my internet go out overnight when I wasn't using it and didn't even know I had an outage for 5 hours. My bill is how I found out I lost service. Google Fiber will automatically stop charging you and discount your bill if an outage is caused by their end. No other ISP does that that I know of. You're paying for "speeds up to XXmbps", including speeds less than, and no service at all. I have never once had to call or contact their support. I don't even know what number to call, or off the top of my head where to find that number, and I don't have to, I can actually drive to a Google Fiber physical store and talk to someone in person, not some level 1 tech support agent in India reading verbatim off a script in an internal wiki. Granted, I can also call or email them, but I've never once in over six years of service, had a need to do that. Another thing is, you can cancel and reactivate your service on the go. Going on vacation for a few weeks? Disable your service before you go, turn it on when you get back home, save money, and they don't care. You can shut it off every night before bed and turn it back on when you get home. They allow you to do this. You'll only pay for the service you are actively being provided.

They created a business model that is so polar opposite of what other ISPs are, to push other ISPs to fix their craptastic infrastructure or get left in the dust by competition.

I personally will always choose a fiber connection over cable because I don't know of a single Cable ISP that people don't regard as "a horrible company with equally horrible service and customer service".


If all your neighbors get on 5G with you, you are no longer going to get anywhere near the speeds you currently have. The real benefit of 5G for the phone networks is the higher frequencies means the signals don't penetrate as well, cover a lot smaller of an area which means they can have more radios - to provide more capacity without overlapping.

It also means 5G only makes economical sense in the densest of areas. 5G isn't coming to the 'burbs any time soon. When you get into the one radio per couple of houses you might as well just run fiber.

Universal wireless internet is a fantasy - there simply isn't enough capacity over the air - just look at the growing pains starlink is already experiencing in areas of just moderate density. Wireless has it's place, but it will never be sufficient for base load.

The laws of physics are a harsh mistress.


> The real benefit of 5G for the phone networks is the higher frequencies means the signals don't penetrate as well, cover a lot smaller of an area which means they can have more radios - to provide more capacity without overlapping.

Nope, density is manageable in most frequency ranges. The advantage to the mmwave frequency bands is that they have larger channel sizes (up to 400MHz), which allows for faster speeds.


It's cheaper to place a single 5G cell antenna for every 10 homes than to run FTTH to 10 homes. Home users don't need 24x7 bandwidth and generally have sporadic bursts making it possible to oversubscribe.


> Did they prove that? Even demand did they actually prove customers will pay more for fiber?

That's a good point, tbh. We have a local provider that provides fiber to the home. Its high quality and the bandwidth is reasonable for the price. Its also fully symmetric and everything is out of sight (buried underground).

A national cable company came into the neighborhood offering copper and ran new copper with ugly boxes everywhere for a slightly lower price. Quite a few people switched.

I really don't think most consumers care.


> did they actually prove customers will pay more for fiber?

Who said fiber will inherently cost more? That assumption only makes sense if you think that ISPs charge people at a reasonable consistent margin, and arent't just jacking up the prices up to the maximum they can get away with.

From my personal experience, finer didn't end up costing more in most cases. I am paying about $60/mo for a symmetric 1Gbps fiber from Google Fiber in a high cost of living city in the US. No data caps, no random fees, easy billing, easy to work with customer service. I paused the service once because i was out of state for about a month, and then resumed it again. It was as easy as calling their customer service and spending less than a minute on it (not counting the little time at the start of the call where I had to verify my account information). Transferring service to a new address (within the same apt building) was extremely easy. No lock-ins, month by month, so I can easily cancel any time and then sign up later. No "installation" fees or any other bs. Just paying the agreed upon monthly cost, plain and simple.

Just before that, i used to live in another large city with a cheaper cost of living (Atlanta). I was paying about $20-30 more per month for a locked contract with Xfinity. It was a nightmare. Data caps, them adding "by mistake" equipment rental fee to my bill about half a year into it (despite me using my own modem + router, and me giving them their equipment back on day 1), as well as me wasting hours to get it resolved, only for the fee to get added back to the bill a few months later. And I got lucky that me and my roommate at the time spotted that fee getting added sneakily both times. And don't get me started spending over 4-5 hours on the phone trying to get the service canceled a couple years after living there (because i was moving across the country). I legitimately ended up having to lie to them that I am moving overseas, otherwise they kept insisting they could just transfer the service to my new address, no matter how many times I told them that I wasn't interesting.

An interesting development came shortly after. After I moved out of Atlanta, Google Fiber finally arrived into the city. In the areas of metro ATL where Google Fiber entered, Xfinity dropped prices significantly, but they barely matched Google in cost (but still had tons of random bs fees and costs that made the price higher), still was a locked contract, and the speeds/service was much worse, it was closer to 100Mbps (it wasn't fiber, it was DOCSIS). Guess what happened in the metro ATL areas that were just right outside of Google Fiber coverage? Instead of dropping the price, Xfinity jacked up prices there for the same old crappy service.

As soon as I initially heard that Google Fiber was coming into ATL area, I was excited for my mother finally getting a cheaper and more reliable internet provider that wouldn't sneakily add random fees or "deals" that force her to deal with it. At worst, I expected that Google Fiber won't expand to her house (just a 30 min drive up north from ATL midtown), but with Xfinity at least giving a cheaper rate, given the competition was encroaching. Except the exact opposite ended up happening.

Oh, and to make things better, that apartment building I lived in back then didn't get Google Fiber for years since it became available in the city, despite being squarely in the coverage area. Guess why? The apartment building management made a 5-year exclusivity contract with Xfinity (aka Xfinity paid them off) to be the sole ISP offered to the apartment building. So even if I wanted to switch, and Google Fiber was available in my area, then too bad.


Why do you want to criticize Google Fiber?


Because they stopped. Because they made it sound like everyone was getting Gigabit internet by 2018 and then just... didn't do anything. They had first movers advantage and were offering something incredible.

And they gave up.

It's nice that they're getting back at it now, but come on, where have you been all these years?


Frankly, I had assumed Google stopped putting any effort into GF, like so many other projects they start.


They didn't so much stop as they got stopped - incumbents fought hard to keep Google Fiber out and they won.


In Louisville (KY) Google Fiber was handed every advantage they needed on a silver platter (One Touch Make Ready) versus the incumbents. Decided to "experiment" and did the absolute dumbest thing possible ("micro-trenching" in a state with an active climate and this thing called "Winter"), failed incredibly hard, and just shut down the network, cut and ran rather than live up to any promises they made to the city. (Leaving the bills for things like giant potholes to the City and its taxpayers.)

That wasn't incumbents fighting them. They did that to themselves.


Google couldn’t wire up their own back yard! You think Comcast has more lobbying clout in Silicon Valley than Google? Google rejected proposals from places like Baltimore and LA that were trying to kick out Comcast and asking Google to wire them up.


I was always surprised that even living in Silicon Valley I was never able to get fiber! I’m near San Francisco now and it still isn’t an option to my home.


Because it's an example of Google's pathological ADHD. I'd be hesitant to subscribe to Google Fiber because it's even odds as to whether they'll just decide to shut it down.


That makes no sense. If they shut down Fiber, the worst that’ll happen is you're forced to switch to a worse provider that costs more. Why not get the good speeds and the low cost while you can?


How did you measure the bottleneck?


My Modem can support 1.5 gbps to the internet. The cat5e cable between the modem and my router can support 1.0 gbps (rated to that at least), and the one between the router and my desktop is the same.

Over wifi, I can get around 600mbit to the router at best.

Running generic speedtest websites, I'm seeing myself top out at around 900mbit or so. Which should be enough for all my needs for long time.


Yeah between 900 mbps hard wired and 600 mbps over wifi, it actually might be possible to use all of your connection with 2+ machines in use.

Good old cat5e can actually do 2.5 gbps these days with newer network cards (Intel Z590 and Z690 mobos) and switches (kinda pricey though).


I'm very happy with Google Fiber here in San Antonio, even though I had AT&T gigabit fiber before. I've never had an outage, we have IPv6, and the internet's so fast that the bottleneck is my home router rather than the actual connection.

Plus, the connection is dug in through the ground instead of run from a telephone pole like AT&T's was, so it's less prone to interference by trees and squirrels

I'm honestly surprised that our city is so well wired up that I have the choice of two gigabit providers. We aren't a tech hub or anything like that. I wonder why this location seems to be such a competitive market for ISPs. We have other big ones like Spectrum, but there's even a local provider (although, I guess they were acquired recently, so not quite local anymore): https://www.astound.com/texas/


> I'm honestly surprised that our city is so well wired up that I have the choice of two gigabit providers. We aren't a tech hub or anything like that. I wonder why this location seems to be such a competitive market for ISPs.

Texas makes it easy and cheap to build. Places like NYC and SF make it hard to build. There’s other reasons, but that’s #1.


I only have a single choice in S.A., Spectrum (or DSL with AT&T). Google is barely rolled out in the city and most of the rest of the city is heavily segmented to either favor AT&T or Spectrum. Grande is cool but serves a tiny piece of the city.

Its basically the same as any other city unless you live in a few specific spots.


Interesting. They just rolled out in both my neighborhood and my parents' neighborhood. From my experience it seems like more single family homes are getting fiber installed than apartment complexes. I think some complexes may have a deal with certain ISPs to be serviced only by them, but I'm not really sure.


I must be in a magical spot since I have Spectrum and Grande for cable and ATT and Google (seems to be part of this push) for fiber.


I have AT&T fiber right now (500 plan) and Google has become available in the past couple months. AT&T has been great but if my intro rate goes up next month I will switch to Google. The only thing I am not happy with AT&T is that I can't use my own modem/router combo and the options on their router are lame (can't even setup my own DNS network wide). 500mb is more than enough but if my rate goes up Google will only be $5 more for 1GB.


I still only have Gigafiber in Dellview/Shearer Hills but it's been great.


Google Fiber has been "available and growing" in Austin for close to a decade now and it's still not available at my Austin address. I'm not going to hold my breath.


This is not entirely Google's fault. As I recall*, the incumbents were doing their damnedest to deny Google access to existing infra (utility poles, buried, etc.), which significantly slowed the roll out (while also increasing the cost). I did eventually get Google Fiber at my home and it was amazing. 1Gb for $70 with no contract and I don't remember having a single outage.

*I bought a new build in 2016 in South Austin and had to wait some time before Google Fiber became available


I waited over two years after signup, but they finally delivered in 2021.


It seems like things have picked up recently in Austin, but yeah it's taking forever. Maybe Google remembered this still exists?


Same in ATL. They run fiber to a building 200m from my condo, but haven't done jack to expand further.


That was my experience in Brookhaven. Google wired up new buildings but didn’t build out to other homes. AT&T did attach fiber to the pole by my house and I managed to convince them to install fiber. Moved to Roswell and my neighborhood is wired up with AT&T fiber except my street. Had to get Xfinity and my upload speed is crap.


Same, but in a different city that has allegedly had it since 2015.


I work pretty close (other side of the office) from some of the Fiber folks, and there's notable enthusiasm from their bubble about expansion into the new and existing metros.

(Disc: Googler in Global Networking, not Fiber)


I remember being one of the first units to get google fiber in Provo, UT back in 2014. Up until that point there was other fiber providers but they had no competition. Once google fiber came in suddenly Comcast tripled their offering speeds for no additional cost, and units and homes that had google fiber were more desirable.


Google Fiber has steadily been expanding it's footprint in my area of North Carolina (Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill). I've been a customer for a little over two years so it's good to see there's still momentum to expand into new areas.


About 6 years ago, Google Fiber buried fiber along several streets that surround my South Durham neighborhood, but I couldn't order it until this year. I had it installed in April and it's been excellent.

The day before my installation appointment, Google Fiber called me to let me know there was a problem with the fiber on my street. They said they'd have to reschedule my installation. I was really disappointed about the delay, expecting I'd have to wait until they fixed the problem on the street to even pick a new date, and that it might be several weeks away. But right there on the call they said it should only take a day to fix, and they could do the installation the day after the original date. I was impressed that they would commit to such a quick fix and reschedule right then.

The installation went smoothly. The equipment installer arrived exactly on time, and finished in the one hour that was scheduled. With Spectrum, I was often given a 3-4 hour window for service, and sometimes they were later than that. Makes you block off a half a day just in case.

The speed and latency are always great. The reliability beats Spectrum, which would go down for minutes to hours when power flickered during storms. I don't think my Google Fiber service has been down for a single second.


That depends on where you are. We're in a Ting area, no signs of Google Fiber here. Ting is still a bit out since our development isn't completely sold yet, so we're stuck with Spectrum until then.


I honestly thought Google fiber was ending? This may actually be one of Google’s longest running non-core projects now.


Google is unlikely to abandon an opportunity to surveil users 100% of the time.


Not sure not much worse that is than any other ISP to be honest, unless they can decrypt packets.

They do have to support https://ndcac.fbi.gov/calea/lawful-intercept-standards


Years ago Google announced that Phoenix would be a market for Fiber but then (like Google does) bailed.

As soon as Google announced, CenturyLink and Cox both put the gas on their fiber rollout here in the PHX metro area. When Google finally cancelled the rollout about two years later, CenturyLink/Cox noticeably decelerated their fiber plans.


Fast internet is a complement to Google's services. It's in Google's interest to commoditize fast internet. They're not interested in offering Fiber, they're interested in making the internet faster and cheaper, since that helps there core business. So their Fiber investment was the lowest they could get away with to still make other players believe that they just might be serious about it in 2015.


Well look at that. Google gave you fiber without even giving you fiber.


Competition leads to excellence and results, while monopolization leads to stagnation.


Google never wanted to be in the fiber business.

But they do want push ISP to increase speeds since that does benefit Google (e.g. Youtube, etc).

So from their perspective, they succeeded in PHX.


Completely forgot about Google Fiber, just assumed they'd abandoned it like so many other Google projects. I was so excited for it back when it was announced. Anything to disrupt the corrupt local monopoly I have to deal with here. Then they scrapped any plans to come to my city and I lost interest.


My building now has ATT fiber and Century Link, our HOA negotiated for $30 (included in HOA fee) a month for 500/500 with $30 a month to upgrade to 1000/1000. Good times. ATT is now offering 2.5 and 5gbps plans as well.

Century Link fiber has been incredibly stable, the only outage we had was ironically when ATT was running the connection into the building they cut the Century Link connection...

I worry that Google really missed an opportunity to roll out an expansive network that consumers were eager to adopt. ATT has been adding in fiber everywhere in Central Florida. Every new development has ATT FttH. If Google rolled in now nobody would really care unless the price was dramatically cheaper.


I live in Canada and our condominium negotiated for CAD$40/month (included in our strata fees) with Bell (essentially a Canadian Verizon) 1.5GB fibre internet, the full traditional cable TV package, as well as Crave streaming (which is licensed in Canada for HBO and Paramount programming). Regular consumer pricing for all this would have been near $200 (though our building wasn't wired for fibre and the deal included them installing the infrastructure). I know they probably come out ahead because it includes a lot of units that would go with a competitor (Rogers, which is our version of Comcast), but it really puts things into perspective.


I have unsubsidized Century Link fiber for $65 a month for gigabit symmetrical and it is indeed very good. Considering Century Link was birthed from US West, the company that we fondly coined "US Worst" back in the day, I've been pleasantly surprised by (and thankful for!) their current competence.


When I moved to Austin in 2013, I was told I would be in a fiberhood within a year. Almost a decade later, still no fiber in that area. I'm not holding my breath on Google Fiber expansions.


I guess that's where my Webpass (owned by Google Fiber) money was going. They increased rates in 2020 and 2021, first time since the acquisition. It finally got me to look for alternatives, and turns out they're all competitive (or better) now.


Metronet has been rolling out to many places across the midwest also. Here in Grand Rapids they were the cheapest fiber choice. Verizon, Comcast all wanted very ridiculous prices and had no competing products.


Strange to do this now, after cost of capital has gone up.


They were broken out into a subsidiary in 2015, which means their management will be seeing pressure to show growth. I’d imagine they’ve probably hit about as much as they can hope for on their existing markets and are especially looking at the number of people now working remotely for the long-term.


Google fiber isn't even available everywhere in Austin, a town they "came to" long ago.

So... color me skeptical about the significance of this.


No, thanks. I don't want my internet provider close my connection without any notice or shut down their whole service.


As others mentioned this could be helpful by forcing other ISPs to improve their products. I’m in the Seattle suburbs: we have two ISPs one has data caps and the other has a max of 100Mbps. There’s one fiber company that’s expanding in WA but mostly only outside of the Seattle area. It’ll be a long time before there’s any significant improvement even though there’s lots of people and tech here unless pressure increases from competition.




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