Wait, why do you get $1M 10% of the time with the one-box strategy? The article reads:
"If it predicted that you would take only B, then they put $1 million in B. "
If it predicts that you will take only B, and they put $1M in B, and 90% of the time it's correct, why isn't the one-box strategy 90% likely to get you $1M?
"If it predicted that you would take only B, then they put $1 million in B. "
If it predicts that you will take only B, and they put $1M in B, and 90% of the time it's correct, why isn't the one-box strategy 90% likely to get you $1M?