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i sure hope it doesn't. i can't see how anyone gets fooled by him. if anything he inspires me to try and get a cool $10M and bounce on investors

Isn't this already in place? I thought this is exactly why Chinese EV's haven't flooded the market yet.

That’s likely more caused by the current 100% import tariff on Chinese EV’s.

Frankly i think you cannot get past your own delusion about AI and no argument will change your mind. No one can make you appreciate art properly and I can only hope one day you will.

> No one can make you appreciate art properly and I can only hope one day you will.

Lmao.

Refer to my other comment for more context, for whatever that is worth (talking with strangers who are eager to judge everyone but themselves is always weird but unavoidable online): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42790853


I follow 3d printing pretty close but can't claim to be an expert. With that said, I truly thought they served different consumer segments with the only overlap being those who bought a Prusa pre-assembled beleving it to be a one stop shop machine. Bambu is a black box from China for an end user with little knowledge or care of maintaining a machine themselves (down to printing replacement parts)


Prior to Bambu, prusa was as close as you could get to “put it together and it’s ready to print” including printer profiles and such. Bambu did this cheaper and better, and much faster, so basically took that entire market from Prusa.

For anyone that wants a printer that “just works”, there’s little reason to choose Prusa over Bambu at this point.


Prusa grew up with the market. Their printers sold very well, that I had to wait for quite awhile for my (MK4) kit to get delivered.


> the only overlap being those who bought a Prusa pre-assembled beleving it to be a one stop shop machine

Thats a surprisingly large segment of the market, though.


Yes I agree, I suppose my point was as soon as Bambu went mainstream that entire Prusa appeal was killed


I bought my Prusa before Bambu became popular, and honestly I always see Prusa’s in school's and libraries and feel their main market in the United States is in that higher end role of something that is just fairly reliable and used where organizations want to provide 3d printing where a lot of different users are going to use them.

But I regularly see Bambu winning the reviews and awards these days, and I’m not sure if I would have been aware of Prusa if I were in the market today.

I really would love a multi-tool change core x y, but it’s soooo expensive.


Bambu Labs' quality and feature set is much, much higher and larger than Prusa's, and the price is right. Prusa bet on people wanting to continually fiddle with their 3D printer, but that segment is already niche and likely dying off.


Most fiddling these days have to do with the printing surface being unclean. I also experienced issues with my X1C too.

But the most common problem is the surface is unclean(on both printers), and my soap to water formulation not being quite dialed in.


What printing surface are you using? I use a PEI sheet that I clean with straight isopropyl alcohol, and I almost never have issues.


PEI smooth and textured. Isopropyl alcohol works until it doesn't. That is why it is recommended that you use warm water with soap. I suspect the ratio of water to soap isn't dialed in quite right in my case, but I haven't bother to fix it just yet.

Either that, or don't touch the surface with your bare hands.


I can only speak anecdotally, but I've been using this sheet for ~4 years while only cleaning it with 90+% IPA, and I haven't seen any loss of adhesion. I expect to replace it due to scratches before I have any problems with the cleaning method.


I think the problems arise from using glue on it.

If I only print PLA without glue, one wipe with IPA and it's clean.

Glue on the other hand, it really sticks and you need water and soap.


I always use IPA to clean the bed too.

I have once used glue for a very thin print with lots of intricate holes in it.


The experience I have on MK4 and X1C are similar, as far as reliability, etc.

There's different annoyances for each; if you calibrate each time X1C is slower to get going. X1C is faster overall on bigger jobs. X1C has weird wifi error-out issues more often. MK4 gets a bit more gunk on the nozzle. X1C wastes more filament. X1C had some issues with retracting filament at first that I printed someone else's bracket design to fix, while MK4 just worked. X1C quality seems slightly better with PLA; MK4 does a slightly better job with PETG.

When wear makes major maintenance necessary, it's going to be easier on MK4.


These kinds of people dont think rationally


rationally, budgets are constrained. any process that increases the number of potential tax payers is good. reassignment surgeries are elective, those receiving them do not pay more taxes, so priority should be given to fertility treatments.


Gender affirming care, including surgeries, increases the quality of life of transgender individuals, which can help make them more productive and even patriotic members of society and which can encourage other transgender individuals and those that believe in transgender rights into the country, potentially overall improving overall throughput and profit and taxes to pay for it all.


That is certainly the rherotic that proponents of these interventions would like others to believe, but reality differs.

See for example:

- https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/belgian-man-...

- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tk7NX7iPr9k

- https://www.c-span.org/video/?c5079802/chloe-cole-opening-st...


In the ideal world there would be resources enough for everything.

But that's never gonna happen. Funding for Healthcare is limited. There can't be a truly universal healthcare.

Now on one hand you have infertility, leading to more than 10% of families struggling. This makes two members of a family struggle mentally. Also the lack of child will have societal impact (economical cultural etc).

On the other hand you have elective gender reassignment. It certainly impacts the quality of life of the person receiving it, but that's it.

Note that we are not talking about a homosexual couple trying to have a child. No. Right now the ocncern is gender reassignment for under aged children! Whether school should inform parents or not! In what universe this can have higher priority?


Ghost kitchens are the biggest scam in the food delivery world. why would anyone pay for an unsanitary kitchen to fry them up some frozen food?


Who says they're unsanitary? Are they not subject to the same kinds of health inspections that regular restaurants have to go through?


In the UK and EU they certainly are.


In they U.S. they are often converted shipping containers or poorly regulated rental kitchens


I... don't think that's right?

edit: I did some research. Ghost kitchens are generally inspected by federal or state authorities, but laws for inspection vary widely by state, and it can be difficult for customers to see or understand inspection results. E.g. You go to a restaurant and see the health grade in the window, but when you order from an online vendor who shares the same kitchen with 5 other vendors, it's very hard to trace the food your getting to the kitchen it's being prepared in and the relevant inspection history.

more here: https://www.theregreview.org/2021/01/13/verniero-paranormal-...


My buddy ordered from a spot called "Mega Quesadilla" and was raving about it. Turns out the ghost kitchen was just an IHOP making quesadillas.


Most of the legacy chain restaurants do this. Outback Steakhouse has a chicken tender ghost kitchen, Denny's has a grilled cheese / melt brand, etc


And there's nothing wrong with that. IHOP has a well equipped kitchen and great cooks. And making a quesadilla isn't exactly rocket science.


Many normal restaurants do a lot of heating up pre-prepared food as well.


1990s app buzz: discover and distribute music 100,000% more efficiently than brick and mortar!

2020s app buzz: eat food at least as expensive as brick-and-mortar that is no worse in quality!


> no worse in quality!

Evidence needed.


the easy wins are gone, but the funding is still there!


The point still stands, at least you get table service and hot food if you go into the restaurant


a lot of fast food is frozen at some point. That's just how that industry works.


Americans are happy to pay for any food that goes directly in to mouths. They'd pay more if pre-chewed.


This is actually a problem for my Volkswagen Tiguan, the car GPS data is wildly inaccurate probably ~30% of the time. The only fix is force it to use wired CarPlay or turn of CarPlay and let my map grab my phone's data before reconnecting.


I also am drawn to piracy just so i can get a high enough bitrate to look good on a modern display!


>I also am drawn to piracy just so i can get a high enough bitrate to look good on a modern display!

Then there's languages and subtitles, and publishers still don't get that shit right.

FFS, I can't watch a Ukrainian movie in Ukrainian outside Ukraine, because the publisher only released the English version on US streaming services.

And if I want to watch a film with a soundtrack in one language (the original, perhaps) and subtitles in another (out of the ones I speak that it better translates to), sayonara, we're hitting the torrents.

Oh, and go figure, sometimes you just don't have a reliable Internet connection where you want to watch a movie. Unbelievably, but it does happen if you go outside the house.


To add to this, if you're trying to learn a language, not being able to watch video in the original audio language AND with subtitles in that language is also problematic, as people don't have perfect pronunciation.

Heck, Americans watching British or other historically commonwealth shows turn on the subtitles half the time just to deal with the unfamiliar-to-them accents.

Frequently subtitles are available for every language except the original on many services... which seems insane.


>Frequently subtitles are available for every language except the original on many services... which seems insane.

I didn't even bother bringing up accessibility, since it's so laughably broken (if not outright ignored) with all current streaming services. It is, at best, an afterthought.

None get even close to matching the functionality of a plain old DVD.

Or, since we are in 2024 - an MKV file with multiple audio and subtitle tracks, which the pirates care about providing, and the streaming services do not.

_______

PS: if you're trying to learn a language, US companies often refer to subtitles in the language of the audio track as "closed captions" rather then "subtitles"[1], with the target audience being hearing impaired people.

Look for the "CC" button, or "accessibility" options, and you may find what you look for.

YouTube provides automatically generated subtitles for many videos (of varying quality) with the [CC] button in the video controls.

[1] See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closed_captioning


> FFS, I can't watch a Ukrainian movie in Ukrainian outside Ukraine, because the publisher only released the English version on US streaming services.

I suspect there's a cost associated with licensing the Ukrainian version that will not be recouped in markets outside Ukraine.


>I suspect there's a cost associated with licensing the Ukrainian version that will not be recouped in markets outside Ukraine.

About a third of Ukrainians are currently outside Ukraine due to war.

Even setting that aside, [citation needed] that providing additional soundtracks comes with an additional cost to the streaming service, and if so, that this additional cost is upfront (and not per stream).

If the publishers are so idiotic as to kill Ukrainian language distribution outside Ukraine with their fees, that just shows that piracy is necessary.

Knowing people in Ukraine, it's less likely to be stupid greed than plain old stupidity (like Daenerys, the officials and executives in Ukraine kind of forgot that Ukrainians outside Ukraine exist). This is a discussion for another time, though.


About a third of Ukrainians are currently outside Ukraine due to war.

More like about 15 percent as of Feb 2024, per the UNHCR.

https://www.unrefugees.org/emergencies/ukraine/


>More like about 15 percent as of Feb 2024, per the UNHCR.

Please, do some due diligence before making comments like this. You are incorrect.

Your link counts refugees.

It does not count:

- people who left Ukraine and permanently settled abroad

- people who left Ukraine on work visas

- people who ended up under Russian occupation

etc.

Ukrainian population has plummeted by 25% due to the 2022 invasion alone[1].

The war didn't start then, either. Crimea and Donbas were occupied since 2014. 3 million people in occupied territories[2], technically, never left Ukraine.

Another red herring is the phrasing as refugees or asylum seekers.

The latter does not nearly account for everyone. With millions of Ukrainians having family abroad due to war, and, at this point, millions of those settling permanently abroad, millions of Ukrainians are eligible to immigrate to reunite with their families abroad. Working families, mind you, Ukrainians integrate well, and not refugees anymore.

I am a Ukrainian living in the US. I have evacuated my MIL from Kyiv the first week of the 2022 invasion. She ended up living in the US until her death from cancer this year, and she is not counted in your stats.

As all Ukrainians, she had a 90-day right to stay in the EU, visa-free. She didn't cross the Ukraine-Polish border as a refugee. She had an active Canadian visa from a couple of years ago when she visited her daughter there, so she didn't enter Canada as a refugee. From Canada to the US, we used the United 4 Ukraine program when it was instantiated[4], a remarkable achievement of Biden's administration.

You may note that it is distinct from "temporary protection" status, and requires someone in the US to sponsor you. It is a parole status; my MIL didn't enter the US as a refugee or asylum seeker.

Her friend, whom we managed to get onto the same evac train, remained with her daughter in Spain. She was eligible to do that years earlier. Reuniting with a family member doesn't make her a refugee or asylum seeker.

I can go on and on with examples, that's not the point.

My point is that the only accurate measure of the population drop is looking at the number of Ukrainians who remain in non-occupied territory of Ukraine to gauge the impact of the war on the population.

You will not find this number. If the government of Ukraine were to publish it, there'd be panic. You will only find estimates. And when you add up the estimates of how many people ended up abroad, you'll see that a third of the population is quite reasonable (a quarter of prewar 44 million is a lower bound estimate).

[1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/22/ukraine-population...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian-occupied_territories_o...

[3] https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/03/12/7446142/

[4] https://www.uscis.gov/ukraine


Dobre, at least 10 million (or about a quarter) seems like a more reasonable figure then.


I mean honestly, it's pretty bad either way — even the 15% estimate you cited would be enough for me to make the point.

I just wanted to emphasize that the situation is worse than most people — and specifically, most Ukrainians — think, because the country really needs to start figuring out how to incentivize people to move to Ukraine (including, but not limited to, getting people to return to Ukraine), and both the government and the people need to be on the same page (as long as people don't care, the gov't won't lift a finger).

Take it as less me arguing with you, and more of ringing the alarm bell everywhere I go until enough people have heard it.


All good, and I appreciate the correction.

BTW I only chimed in like that because people routinely cite, for example, casualty figures ("Ukraine has 1M+ dead") intended to make the situation look much worse for Ukraine than it actually is (and to apparently suggest that there's a giant conspiracy to keep keep the truth hidden from us). Turns out they're invariably skimming, looking at a random figure they saw (for example an article claiming 1M total casualties included wounded, and on both sides, meaning mostly Russian), and duly misremembering in a specific way that happens to align with the narratives they like.

So this case it turns out I was wrong (but at least in an interpretive way; I didn't think about how the definition of "refugee" is overly specific and doesn't really count the number of people forced to leave the country).

On that note, if you have your own estimate of the current numbers for military / civilian fatalities, that would be of interest also.


Thanks for doing the good work! I don't see such fearmongering in my bubble (another big issue is how the society is split into layers, and I have no idea what information most people are exposed to).

>On that note, if you have your own estimate of the current numbers for military civilian fatalities, that would be of interest also.

Ukraine doesn't publish these numbers for opsec reasons, so it's a wild guess.

About a million people have been mobilized. There's an immense amount of casualties, but Ukraine has been fighting hard to bring the wounded back, so many wounded return to service after recovery.

2022 has seen a huge number of civilian fatalities, particularly in cities like Mariupol, where the estimates range up to 100,000. Evidence of massacres and mass graves have been found in areas reclaimed from Russia, e.g. Bucha and Izyum.

But the war has enetered a different phase as of fall 2022. The civilian casualties are remarkably low. This is both because Ukraine is pretty good in evacuating civilians from places where the fighting is going on, and because both sides have zero interest in wiping out the civilians. Cynically, people are still a resource for either side.

On the level of people actually involved in combat, it's not an ethnic conflict, so they have no incentive to inflict civilian casualties. Mariupol's high casualty figures are more due to Russia's disregard for human life rather than deliberate goal of inflicting such damage. They weren't treating their own much better (they have since started caring about that more, but given that they're using NK soldiers, it looks like it was a bit too late).

Russia still resorts to occasional terrorism, like the strike on Okhmatdyt children's hospital. But the entire point of terrorism is inflicting minimal damage with minimal resources and causing maximum amount of fear and outrage. Russia's terrorism fails in the latter aspects; so far, it only strengthened the resolve, while costing Russia expensive rockets that are in limited supply.

Other than that, Russia doesn't have the reach to do much damage to Ukrainian civilians. Air defenses keep the bombers away, and drones on either side don't allow artillery to get anywhere close to the cities.

We're back to WW1-esque situation where the fighting is happening 100km away in the trenches, and you're sitting there sipping tea like nothing is going on, while the number of crosses at the cemeteries and people without limbs is growing, and the number of men of fighting age you can spot in the streets is shrinking.

From talking to soldiers, it's also impossible to gauge the losses. Assault units that storm the trenches have high casualty and loss rates. Bad commanders can send units into an area without recon, condemning them all. Hell is hell, and war is worse. But there's simply no data.

It's safe to say that combat casualties and deaths are much higher than reported. It's also safe to say that it's not nearly as high as the fearmongering you cited suggests: Ukraine is struggling with mobilization, and needs those 1M mobilized to hold the line (Zaluzhny's article in the Economist talks about the need to mobilize 500K a year ago - a task which is still ongoing).

So fatalities in the "hundreds of thousands" range would simply mean a frontline collapse. Meanwhile, we see the opposite happening: Ukraine's incursion into Kursk demonstrates that Ukraine has enough manpower for offensive operations, while holding up against Russian advances in the East (more or less).

On the other hand, Russia is advancing in the East; slowly, but advancing. That means that so far, their manpower losses have been sustainable. Whether they're sustainable because Russia has North Korea as a resource or another reason is beside the point - they can find people to do combat tasks somewhere, and that's all that matters.

As far as Ukraine's ability to have capable armed forces, manpower shortage due to fatalities would be very low on the list of issues.

The #1 issue would be losing experienced veterans, and not being able to train mobilized people effectively. The situation is improving, but is still dire. The numbers alone won't tell the story.

Losses alone don't demoralize the civilians (or would-be recruits) either. The fear of being thrown into combat with an AK and three clips, with training amounting to "point in the direction of enemy" does it. The fear of having a commander without any regard for human life or common sense does it.

I'd say that the fate of Ukraine hinges on whether Ukraine will be able to solve these problems and alleviate fears (the fears will be there in any case). Ukraine has enough resources, both manpower and economic/military, to fight this war (including foreign help - but both Russia and Ukraine rely on it, the world has gone global a while ago).

It's the ability to utilize the resources that is lackluster. Not an F level, but B- to C-. Enough to get by (so far). Occasional glimpses of brilliance (like the Kursk incursion, most recently). All riddled with careless mistakes that are systemic enough that resolving them is a very hard task.


I think the term was co-opted by tech reviewers and consumers to describe any machine capable of use for video and music production. I agree that it is wrongly used in this way.


But a 6 year old laptop with an i5 does that just fine, just maybe a bit slower than a pro video editor wants.


Twitter regularly changes the location of source videos because as X they now charge for the ability to download them directly. I've also noticed on iOS, if you attempt to screen record a video the app essentially crashes or glitches the video player.


As with many things, the solution is ffmpeg. After I got that upsell thing when I tried to download a video about a week ago, I found the correct ffmpeg incantation, mostly out of spite for Twitter. If you find the m3u8 request in devtools on a tweet, you can use something like the following:

  ffmpeg -i 'https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1846357395959615488/pu/pl/ecNx-sTzYA9doHYO.m3u8' -analyzeduration 5G -codec:a libmp3lame -b:a 96k output.mp4
(if anyone runs that command...you're welcome for the meme, unfortunately I don't know where it came from)


You probably get the same result in the end, but yt-dlp can also do this if you point it at the m3u8 file.

(Actually I just checked and it also supports downloading Twitter videos directly.)


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