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Simpson's paradox paradox comes into play here a little bit. Your risk of dying of prostate cancer is in the ballpark of 1 in 40 but your risk of dying of heart disease is 1 in 4.

If trading a higher risk of prostate cancer for a lower risk of heart-disease (which others have mentioned) might be the better choice here.

Caveats abound here, of course, but just because something 'increases your risk of' something doesn't mean it's an aggregate loss.




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