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New theory may revolutionize superconductors (cornell.edu)
93 points by jonbaer on Dec 5, 2013 | hide | past | favorite | 26 comments



The article kindly submitted here is a university press release. That digests the facts in the PNAS article from October 29, 2013

http://www.pnas.org/content/110/44/17623.full.pdf

into more readable prose, but it also adds some hype in the familiar manner of the Science News Cycle.

http://www.phdcomics.com/comics/archive.php?comicid=1174

It will be grand if this scales up to commercial power transmission someday, but there are a lot more research and development steps to go through before we would see such a thing, if it is possible at all. The obligatory link for any discussion of a preliminary research finding like this article is the essay "Warning Signs in Experimental Design and Interpretation" by Peter Norvig, LISP hacker and director of research at Google, on how to interpret scientific research.

http://norvig.com/experiment-design.html

The paper here reports a new theoretical framework, so the first stage in checking it out is to conduct many more experiments to validate the new theory--or possibly prove it wrong.


This could be a really exciting development: a single model that explains multiple very different looking superconducting systems is exactly what everyone would love to see.

That said, I'm cautious in getting too excited when I hear about scientific research from a university press release: there's been a whole lot of good work on superconductivity over the years, and lots of promising ideas that didn't pan out. I'll be more confident if I start seeing actual scientists getting excited about this.


There goes my evening :-) It would be remarkable if we could engineer a structural material that had as its sole purpose to be a durable Fermi surface for cooper pairs.


I've been thinking about putting together an "easy" to follow lesson on computing the fermi surface of metals in either Mathematica or python as a learning experience over the winter break. I'm by no means an expert but if you're interested in something like that let me know.


I hope this theory helps, but I prefer breakthrough-reports with the reversed sense:

"New superconductor may revolutionize theories"


Theory and experiment traditionally play a game of leapfrog over time. My impression has been that in superconductivity, the experiments have been ahead for years (possibly multiple decades). There are lots of "high temperature" superconductors known, but nobody has yet come up with a model that can give a compelling explanation of how they all work (or, more importantly, predict how to make newer, better ones). So the breakthroughs that you're looking for have already happened: we don't even have a preferred theory to upend at the moment. (Which is why research like this could be a big deal if it pans out.)


Never mind making motors, I wonder if this level of order is leverageable for computaton?


Whoa, high temperature superconductors really would be a leap forward.


As I understand high-temperature superconductors are in use today and new materials are found to exhibit superconductivity at -150 C or higher. But the mechanism by which it happens is not known, which is the focus of this research. They seem to have some insights.

If we discover the mechanism, we could theoretically manufacture a room-temperature superconductor (above 0 C). This would really be a leap forward :)


"If we discover the mechanism, we could theoretically manufacture a room-temperature superconductor (above 0 C). This would really be a leap forward :)"

Why?


Superconductive power transmission lines are huge. You now can move electricity anywhere with zero loss. I've seen loss numbers for the US electrical grid as high as 20%. Imagine if we got 20% more power to use from the same generators?

MRI machines are a second use case. Currently, most MRI's use a superconductive metal to run gigantic currents through a coil to create gigantic magnetic fields which they measure. In order to do this, the MRI needs to be cooled enough to make the coil superconductive which requires at least liquid nitrogen and sometimes liquid oxygen. This is what makes MRI's expensive. Without the cooling requirements, they would likely be as expensive and thus as common as X-ray machines.


Believe it or not, getting the extra 20% out of the grid is peanuts compared to the ability to move power wherever.

In West Texas there is a huge amount of wind power installed but it's difficult to get that power from West Texas to anywhere that people use it like Houston or Dallas.

Right now people pay different amounts for electricity depending on where they are in the globe because electric power is actually a locally produced, locally consumed good. It's a commodity to be sure, but it's actually harder to transport than oil is. So oil prices are fairly flat worldwide but electricity prices can vary by a factor of 10 or more.

High temperature superconductors would make it really feasible to interconnect the world's energy grids and allow anyone with the ability to generate utility-scale power to sell into the wholesale market.

That means you could cover the Sahara, the outback in Australia and the deserts in the Americas with solar panels and run a fairly flat and smooth solar-only electric grid.


I'm thinking this falls out as: we only see losses up to 20%, because for transmissions where it would be higher, it's not feasible, so not done, so we don't see it.

I guess your scenario of outback solar powering the world would work with undersea (why not?) superconducting cables. But orbital power stations need a space elevator (perhaps more feasible, if it's just a cable, not people/goods transport).

I worry about room-temperature superconductors... what if they carry massive power and get a tiny bit hotter? I suppose there's the same solution of circuit breakers as for regular cables, but seems more dangerous with little head room and no environmental cooling. Don't touch that! You'll warm i ka-BOOOM


There will be engineering challenges no doubt, but they're technically quite easy to overcome. Expensive and a bit impractical, but very doable.

A few thoughts:

1. Make the total capacity up of multiple superconducting strands. That prevents a single failure from totally blowing everything up.

2. Create variable loads at the power generation equipment as well as distributed throughout the grid. They could be giant resistors or single-use loads that are designed to burn up, or probably some combination of both. If/when something goes wrong they can be brought online to absorb the energy currently in the grid and prevent really nasty failures.

3. Any kind of really long distance transmission is likely going to be HVDC and that means capacitance isn't a huge problem. Which means you can bury the cables underground (perhaps 500 or more feet) where the ground temperature is relatively constant in the 50-90f range (depends on latitude). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geothermal_heat_pump

4. There probably won't be too many of them and that means you can go to some pretty serious lengths to ensure that they're highly reliable.

I would envision a single cable from Australia to China to Russia to Europe. A dogleg down through Africa and head onwards to cross North America horizontally with another dogleg down to South America. If we've got crazy money, maybe even connect back up over the Pacific and have the South American and African doglegs connect over the Atlantic.

The whole thing would easily cost hundreds of billions but the benefits would be really big. New power generation could be done where it's easiest rather than near/in population centers.


4. There probably won't be too many of them and that means you can go to some pretty serious lengths to ensure that they're highly reliable.

I would envision a single cable from Australia to China to Russia to Europe. A dogleg down through Africa and

You need 2- or 3- way redundancy, or one drunk backhoe operator (or aircraft cargo pilot) could knock out power to half a continent.


You'd definitely encase them in a pipeline. Something durable. That would be much cheaper than multiple pulls. 1/2" wall 8" diameter steel pipe is real strong and pretty cheap compared with doing a second pull for a redundant cable. But you make a good point about redundancy.


> getting the extra 20% out of the grid is peanuts compared to the ability to move power wherever

It is one and the same improvement. Though you're right the second implication is much more important.


Liquid oxygen? I don't think so. Liquid helium - yes.


MRI machines don't actually use liquid cryogens, do they? Surely some kind of cryocooler would be simpler and cheaper?


From what I have read I'm sure MRI machines use liquid helium because the superconducting magnet needs to be very cold and liquid nitrogen isn't cold enough. LN2 was used as a sort of buffer/insulator but has been replaced by cryocooler cooled dewar.

Not that I know much more I just skimmed The Basics of MRI: http://www.cis.rit.edu/htbooks/mri/chap-9/chap-9.htm


Not to be a cynic, but even if we got a room-temperature superconductor it might not be useful for power lines. The material may end up being too brittle or too expensive (most of these superconductors are complex ceramics, which are very brittle and hard to form into wires). Alos, superconductors carry electricity with no resistance, but only up to a point. If you try to stuff too much current into a superconducting wire, its superconductivity will turn off.


Not needing a dedicated cooling unit would go a long way in decreasing size and cost of manufacturing.


Link to article?




I'm so jaded that I wont click a superlative filled headline by default, even if it is an edu URL. I'm sure this will change all things forever, will be a *-killer and fix the upcoming antibiotic-less armageddon. Here are 10 reasons why this article is wrong about everything.




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