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Of course they can defeat Russia, if they’re tenacious enough. Just look at Afghanistan (against both Russia and USA). If the costs ends up being too high, eventually the attacker loses the will to continue the fight.

Russia is running out of equipment. What they have left is in an increasingly bad state. Ukraine’s recent strategy of targeting refineries is working fairly well.

Ukraine now has domestic laser weapons for taking down Russian drones.




Afghanistan is an awful example because there was a large number of civilians dead as a result (many times more that foreign soldiers), country having to live through several devastating wars, poverty, and a terrorist group became the government in the end. This was much worse thing than what is happening in Ukraine.


> This was much worse thing than what is happening in Ukraine.

The only reason Ukraine is yet to be as worse for civilians as Afghanistan is the fact that Ukraine successfully routed and defeated Russia's initial invasion push.

Look at Bucha to see a real world example of what expects Ukraine if they capitulate.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bucha_massacre


So the Afghans should have just rolled over for Russia? I wonder if they’d agree.


The Taliban are not a terrorist group, awful as they are


> Ukraine now has domestic laser weapons for taking down Russian drones

Source?



> Of course they can defeat Russia, if they’re tenacious enough. Just look at Afghanistan (against both Russia and USA)

Ukraine is steppe and swamp, very flat. Afghanistan .. is not.


And we saw what happened when Russia approached Kyiv.

It goes both ways, there's a reason why Russia has more than 900.000 casualties in 3 years of a "3 day special military operation".




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