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In technology, long term thinking is impossible, because everything changes so fast, and the pace of change is quickening. The rules are Nobody knows when a sudden shift in technology will open up new markets and business models.

Thinking about self driving cars is certainly long term. We are all excited about the possibility of self driving cars, but it will takes lot of money and engineering brainpower before it become viable in the market. Remember, the first DARPA Grand Challenge was in 2004.

Software startups deal with what is just about possible. They don't try to make quantum computers or launch rockets like SpaceX(Which itself is a startup from 2002).




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