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> We've had multiple presidents assassinated but still had continuity of power.

Sure, with the peaceful transfer being recently violated for the first, but probably not the last time. The literacy rate in the US continues to decline, and the US keep losing respect on the world stage which is only going to get much worse over the next 4 years.

> Some of us who are optimistic believe that the uniqueness of the U.S. lies in its favorable environment for innovation (e.g. YC),

The US doesn't have an especially favorable environment for innovation than other first world countries, arguably it has less given the lack of regulation.




Yup, I'm going to dogpile on this:

> favorable environment for innovation

I may be wrong, but all indications are that this is a sort of "past glory".

I've not personally visited Shenzhen, but every online account (e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=toizHWGD-rE) shows that they are making everything there -- the "Designed in California, Made in China" is a tenuous situation, and not guaranteed to last.

Like how DeepSeek was a wake-up moment, there are several more waiting to happen.

Again, this is my very much "secondhand" perspective, but I think the GP's assertion is on borrowed time.




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