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Nobody knows what the most useful level of approximation is.

The first step to achieving a "useful level of approximation" is to understand what you're attempting to approximate.

We're not there yet. For the most part, we're just flying blind and hoping for a fantastical result.

In other words, this could be a modern case of alchemy --- the desired result may not be achievable with the processes being employed. But we don't even know enough yet to discern if this is the case or not.




We're doing a bit more than flying blind — that's why we've got tools that can at least approximate the right answers, rather than looking like a cat walking across a keyboard or mashing auto-complete suggestions.

That said, I wouldn't be surprised if if the state of the art in AI is to our minds as a hot air balloon is to flying, with FSD and Optimus being the AI equivalent of E.P. Frost's steam powered ornithopters wowing tech demos but not actually solving real problems.




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