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The best example of that is Bob Metcalfe, inventor of Ethernet, predicting the collapse of Ethernet... didn't happen.

https://www.reddit.com/r/todayilearned/comments/azevs3/til_t...




https://web.archive.org/web/20061107120353/http://www.merit....

> Of course you should understand that I ate the column only because the Internet, as far as I can tell, did not suffer a gigalapse during 1996 -- a billion lost user*hours in a single outage. The Internet has indeed bogged down (hit STOP much?) and has indeed suffered large outages (the biggest being a 118 megalapse at AOL in August)

He was only wrong by a factor of 9.




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