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One under appreciated dynamic that has changed is that companies with limited revenue/PMF are raising more money at higher valuations. This mean that more early employees are being hired into less certain, less profitable situations, and the equity they are getting is a smaller percentage behind more liquidity preferences.

E.g. There are numerous AI startups I’ve spoken to in the past year with negative gross margins, 8 figure raises, and >100x ARR multiples. $1mln in paper equity in such a company is probably intrinsically worth <$100k.

Being an early employee at a startup right now is a really bad financial decision imo




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