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> The more money the banks print, the richer they get, with the side-effect that prices rise (they make the monetary units less scarce and worth less).

Meanwhile Japan has been increasing money supply for decades, and yet during that time they've had low and even negative rates of inflation:

* https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=PA7P

Stop looking at money supply and inflation:

> But also – why do so many people insist that inflation is an increase in the money supply? This makes zero sense. Here’s why – our economy is mostly a credit based economy. So, if I take out a loan for $100,000 then the money supply has technically increased by $100,000. But what if I don’t actually tap that loan? What if I borrow the money because, for instance, house prices just went up 25% and I want to have some cash around for emergencies? This doesn’t tell us anything about prices, living standards or really anything. But this is what so much of the money supply represents – money that has been issued and is just sitting around unused. Why is this useful? It’s like calculating your weight changes by counting how much food you have in your refrigerator. No. That’s potential calories consumed and potential weight gain. The amount of food in your fridge tells you little about your future weight changes just like the amount of money in the economy tells us little about the actual price changes in the economy.

* https://www.pragcap.com/three-things-i-think-i-think-i-see-d...




Japan is well known to be near-unique among world economies.

It's commonly said "There are four kinds of countries: developed countries, developing countries, Japan, and Argentina".

To point at some individual thing that happened a certain way in Japan and then try to justify some broad economic policy elsewhere in the world based on that won't work. Absent the other factors that make Japan's economy unique, the lessons there do not apply elsewhere.

As a counterpoint to your one example re: money supply and inflation, I would present the following: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation#Notable_hyperin...


I am aware of Simon Kuznets.

> As a counterpoint to your one example re: money supply and inflation, I would present the following: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation#Notable_hyperin...

People like to point out money supply/printing and inflation (cause of), but often fail to ask what caused the money printing in the first place:

* https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1799102

People don't 'run the printers' for funsies: there are usually extraneous reasons why it happens (including a good portion of what the US (and most other countries) recently experienced).

> Now think about that – did 6 different governments [including Weimar Germany], all within a 4 year time period [in the 1920s], and all bordering each other and/or in the same post WWI region and intellectual/political climate (with the seeds of the some of the farthest right and farthest left regimes in all of history within them that would lead to WWII just ~18 years later)—

> Did all of a sudden this little world region and precise time period and intellectual milieu decide to just start spending like crazy? At the same time? While the rest of the world did not?

> Or did they share the same underlying, and preceding, set of problems discussed above?

* https://clintballinger.com/2021/01/12/the-myth-of-hyperinfla...

* https://clintballinger.com/2019/05/24/the-autocorrelation-of...

Further, in modern financial systems money is mostly created by banks creating credit:

* https://www.pragcap.com/stop-with-the-money-printing-madness...

* https://advisoranalyst.com/2014/01/09/cullen-roche-the-ten-b...

* https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/132




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