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the inflation rate setting is trying to predict human behavior and so it is always a damned if you do damned if you don't.

that being said, the psychological power of central banks is very real. Brazil's real was introduced in 1994, after an intermediate period in which the prices had to be dual listed in the old and future currency, but the future currency had not been printed yet. They just never inflated the future currency, and people seemed to believe that. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plano_Real




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