Sounds like a cool model. I'd love to try it but it seems like they're not releasing it (yet?). I've really gotten spoiled with the recent language models where I can download and run any new model or fine-tune I hear about. It's gotten to the point where I don't feel a model is very relevant unless I can run it locally. Hopefully a local version of this becomes available because I have plenty of time series data I'd like to run through it!
If you aren't beating the market you're losing money in opportunity cost, because you could've just bought an index fund and made more.
(Also, you don't just need to beat pure chance, because pure chance is not guaranteed — or I think likely — to result in net zero losses on average, since you are then in an information-asymmetric environment where your trading partner looks at data and you do not. But regardless, even if you "make" money but underperform the market, you are effectively losing money in opportunity cost!)
