Not even spammers want to waste time & money emailing people who have already marked their emails as spam (that's as clear a signal as any to move onto the next victim).
The real problem is, for legitimate senders, the people who send less emails actually get higher levels of spam complaints! This is because humans are human and they forget who you are. I would argue this actually incentivizes sending more emails. This is why marketers all recommend sending garbage emails daily/weekly/monthly.
The truth is, the companies with full-time spam (marketing) departments will do just fine with these changes. It's the little guy who is going to have to navigate these complexities (likely unsuccessfully), and get shut out from yet another technology that used to be open.
On top of that, Google has started to offer perks for senders within Gmail for a $1,500 per year fee (VMC). They're basically one step away from collecting rents on all of email by way of their monopoly.
I disagree with your analysis. I think they will limit the amount emails with garbage that people don't want to see if they risk getting their entire domain blocked over it.
I also don't think it's complicated for the "little guys". The solution to avoid getting banned is simply to not send mass spam. It's not rocket science, don't mass email people knowing that they get mad at you when see your emails in their inbox.
The real problem is, for legitimate senders, the people who send less emails actually get higher levels of spam complaints! This is because humans are human and they forget who you are. I would argue this actually incentivizes sending more emails. This is why marketers all recommend sending garbage emails daily/weekly/monthly.
The truth is, the companies with full-time spam (marketing) departments will do just fine with these changes. It's the little guy who is going to have to navigate these complexities (likely unsuccessfully), and get shut out from yet another technology that used to be open.
On top of that, Google has started to offer perks for senders within Gmail for a $1,500 per year fee (VMC). They're basically one step away from collecting rents on all of email by way of their monopoly.