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It's valid that benefits would pass to renters if the market was constrained by limited demand and priced at the marginal cost of ownership. If the market is constrained by limited supply, then benefits are absolutely not passed onto renters, and the market will be priced at renters maximum ability to pay.

I don't think we're either purely supply- or demand- constrained in Houston, TX. But I do think that a massive number of rental properties are using cartel-based pricing in the form of YieldStar software. This distorts the market just enough by preventing price drops in large amounts of properties in less desirable areas, which props up demand in more desirable areas.

This only works if large companies like Greystar and Knightvest and Post own both expensive high-end properties where they need strong ROI, and inexpensive crappy properties where they can take a lower ROI because the capital outlay per unit was a smaller % of their total assets. If both the shitty apartment and expensive apartment rent for $1,400/month, the shitty apartment might go vacant but it didn't cost much in the first place. Meanwhile the expensive apartment costs the same $1,400/mo so people say "that's a bit too much for me to really afford but I can't find anything cheaper and this is the nicest one at that price".

Without YieldStar's price distortion, the expensive apartment might still be $1,400 but the shitty apartment would likely be $800/mo. Enough people would move from the nice apartments to the shitty ones that the nice apartments would eventually have to lower their price a bit to maintain target occupancy rates.




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