Tech valuations are all fairies and unicorns right now. I don’t know what their “actual fundamentals” valuation should be, but actual fundamentals haven’t dictated tech stock pricing for at least a decade.
NVDA forward PE is 42.48, which isn't super crazy relative to other big tech companies (MSFT over 30). I suspect ARM's forward PE is double that ratio (>80).
If NVDA's forward projections are correct, and they can maintain that same growth, then there is still room for upside. Personally, I'm not playing this game of musical chairs because I don't think these valuations are sustainable, but as they say, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent, so shorting is a terrible idea.
Anyone who is able to reliably predict which stock valuations are actually fairies and unicorns can become insanely rich doing so. With this great insight, surely you'll be a billionaire in 10 years through short selling?