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And when you say "Aviation is safe" you mean specifically Scheduled Aviation ie people buy tickets and go on a plane with some guys they've never met flying it. Scheduled Aviation is remarkably safe.

GA (General aviation, people who own a little plane and maybe just fly it for fun, or it's a professional expense for say a plastic surgeon and allows them to fly 300 miles home on Thursday evening after working four days in the big city) is not safe. A few hundred of these people die, not just smash up their planes or get hurt, but die, sometimes with family or friends aboard, every year. It might make the local TV news, at most. Unless they were a celebrity it won't make national news.

Commercial is more complicated because there are so many possibilities. Cargo is pretty safe, if your job is to move boxes of stuff from one big jet airport to another in a civilized country you'll likely die in bed of old age. But if you fly a police helicopter, or medevac, or you're a crop duster, or you fly custom pick up jobs, when the client wants and where they want - those jobs can go badly wrong much too easily, without you really understanding what you've got yourself into until it's too late. These people are (or at least should be) better trained than in GA, but they're also often flying more demanding missions. You may operate out of somewhere with not-so-great capabilities, on short notice, in poor weather and/or at night, and you may be expected to go places that you ordinarily wouldn't, close to buildings, close to other aircraft, even close to the ground - all of which narrows your options if things go wrong.

Military is also pretty bad as I understand it. It needn't be, but there's some sense that the job is "supposed" to be dangerous, which maybe makes sense for front line infantry, but really not for the vast majority of military pilots - way too many of them die far from any enemy, as a result of somebody screwing up, just like in GA or commercial.




GA is as safe as you want to make it for yourself. Most accidents happen because people are in a hurry to get where they're going, so they force an uncertain situation into a bad one. Police heli and medivac are motivated to fly where that would be 'unwise' because people might get hurt otherwise. It runs up the numbers. :/


I grew up next to Tamiami Airport, now Miami Executive Airport. The number of overconfident private flight incidents/crashes was wild, enough to make the neighborhood unhappy and eventually get one of the flight schools shut down. [0]

I can think of one (1) single fatal crash that wasn't due to overconfidence, ATC error, bad piloting, poor maintenance, etc. It was a horrific helicopter crash I'll never forget; we drove by on the way back from school and it was still on fire. Surreal sight.

[0] https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/dean-international-fligh...


I used to sell life insurance. "Minor" health problems would result in a slightly higher rate: higher than average blood pressure, asthma, thyroid issues, etc. Serious health problems like diabetes, cancer, smoking, and so on meant much higher premiums, especially when combined. If you were a private pilot, they wouldn't even give you insurance (most of the time) unless you agreed to be covered in all cases except flying. It's called an aviation exclusion rider.

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/791683/0000791683030...


I did some research on this a while ago and concluded that GA is about as dangerous as motorcycling, both about 5-9x more dangerous than passenger cars depending whether you count fatalities or fatal accidents per passenger-mile.

On a per-hour basis, GA is probably more dangerous, given the greater passenger-miles per hour.


GA is especially deadly and dangerous if you're a musician.

If we could go back in time and ban Cessnas and other small planes starting in the 1950s, music might look really different today.




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