> So what is your first guess. Because I think it makes plenty of sense that Russia would blow up the dam, but even if we accepted your premise that it doesn’t, then for what actor does it make more sense to blow up the dam than Russia?

Russia had the means to block the flank at will. It does block that part for a week, sure, but after that Russia has no control over it anymore.

> [...] and question if you’ve been consuming propaganda.

That is beside the point. We all only/mostly consume propaganda. It's when you think that one side tells the truth, that you're being manipulated.