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It might, sure, but it might also have to do with the fact that people carry almost nothing in cash compared to 40+ years ago.

In 1985, when I was a child, my father would care around $300 on him effectively at all times. Credit cards were still new, and checks were a limited option, most places you still needed cash. That's the equivalent of $850 today. I rarely carry more than $200 on my person today (less than the cost of a fancy dinner for two in San Francisco). The only reason I'm able to do that is because the vast majority of my transactions settle on a bank card.

You can argue that the change is surveillance, but the stark decrease in untraceable value I carry on my person is clearly an incentive for robbery that has been lost. It's also likely a major reason for the near-elimination of pick-pocketing in western society.



It's easy to use a stolen credit card, nobody asks for ID. Mugging isn't that uncommon, I interrupted a robbery just over a week ago.


Again, since the system is based on trust, the vast majority of stolen credit cards results in no serious loss of value to the individual.


I was responding to your argument that there are no economic incentives to mug people. The mugger isn't out to impose a cost on the victim, but to get some free money. Purchasing power on a credit card is just as good, although it's not as flexible/reliable as a wad of cash.


I agree. It was more convenient to rob cash which is fungible.

But I actually wonder if the rewards are higher today, with everyone carrying >$1000 phones.


The street resale value of a stolen $1000 phone is far less than the value of $1000 in stolen cash.


iPhones are hardware locked now they can only be sold for parts.


Or scams on eBay




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