Like I said, my website can already do it to some degree for end users. GitHub CoPilot etc. is very popular for programmers. I am just assuming the models will continue to improve and be deployed.
The only reason to be un-optimistic like that person is if you assume that the model capability will remain essentially static over several years. But even with current models (which new ones are released every few months at this point) there is huge potential for replacing quite a lot of real software engineering work especially when you start putting them in loops and specializing/priming them for particular types of programming.
The only reason to be un-optimistic like that person is if you assume that the model capability will remain essentially static over several years. But even with current models (which new ones are released every few months at this point) there is huge potential for replacing quite a lot of real software engineering work especially when you start putting them in loops and specializing/priming them for particular types of programming.