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There is actually a lot of research on how catastrophic failures in highly complex systems happen. Here is a brilliant article that summarizes the main findings:

https://how.complexsystems.fail/

I cannot read that one without thinking in the descriptions and analyses of disasters like the sinking of the MS Titanic, the Chernobyl disaster, the loss of the Challenger space shuttle, or the Fukushima disaster. Many, many points in the article seem correct for all of them.



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