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It really says a lot about the system when the people who pass laws bipartisanly are not happy about what they just passed. It's almost like they could have, I dunno, read and thought about what they were passing. Just imagine all the other BS slipping through.



The 2017 TCJA was passed on pure party line votes (in the House, all Democrats and 12 Republicans opposed the bill), so it definitely wasn't bipartisan. More generally, big tax cut (the top 0.1% saw about $250K in lower taxes under the TCJA) and big spending bills jam in all sorts of random shenanigans to try and prove themselves revenue neutral, even though they almost never work out as described. One favored tactic, as we see here, is to kick big cans down the road and let a future Congress work out the problems. They (and this is one of those cases where both parties are equally complicit) know what they're doing, they just don't want to be honest about the fiscal implications of what they're doing.

Fixing these tax issues, on the other hand, would have had to be attached to the NDAA or omni last session, both of which require bipartisan support; big bipartisan bills are so contentious that it's hard to get unrelated deals through, especially since everything goes down to the wire these days. In this case, a deal that would have expanded child tax credits in exchange for a bunch of corporate and high net-worth household goodies, including section 174 fixes, was on the table, but couldn't get through negotiations. (I'll note that, while the Republicans created the section 174 mess in the first place, they are now trying to repeal that and other TCJA changes, but aren't willing to add lower-income individual tax cuts into the mix, which is what stalled things in the last Congress.)

It's a hell of a mess, and things are made crazier by the weird power dynamics in the current House leadership, where a small group of fiscal bomb-throwers have outsized power in the Republican party (and it's not clear that they care about tax minutiae, at least not while they're playing with a federal default on the national debt), but the inter-party margins are so slim that you could potentially cobble together a bipartisan majority on the edges. No one seems to like the section 174 situation, so it's at least theoretically possible that you could get a small coalition together to cut a deal at the last minute -- but I'm not sure we can count on that.


Wow, thank you for that detailed explanation. Very interesting.


The fact that there are unintended consequences in legislation does not mean no one read, or thought about it. These are thousands of Congressional staffers who read and study legislation, along with many more outside of Congress, but there are missed requirements, implementation bugs, and other problems in edge cases in legislation just like everything else, because the world is complex.


I am a formal congressional staffer in both the House and the Senate and virtually no one reads any given bill or even cares much about what is in it other than memorizing the talking points about it. Bills are almost completely written by lobbyists and a bunch of 23 year old staffers are not knowledgeable enough to have any valid comprehension or input.

The job of a congressional staffer is to ensure reelection so we spend almost our time getting the member on the most powerful committees (for more campaign contributions) and getting on tv (for free media).

Committees do spend more time on the content of bills but each member usually only has one staffer for multiple committees and they are still told how to vote by the party.


This is true. I was a congressional staffer long ago, and before that I was an intern at the Legislative Digest, an official publication that summarizes legislation for the members of Congress. These summaries were often the only thing that members would read before they voted. If a member was really ambitious, he or she might read the committee report as well. But that's it.

I wasn't 23 years old when I was writing these summaries. I was 21. There was no one in the office over 30, and no lawyers.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legislative_Digest


There are 435 House members and 100 Senators. On any given bill they are not all going to have a role in shaping and negotiating it, and their staff will not have access to bill language as that is happening. Or perhaps even right up to the vote.

That does not imply that no one reads any bills. As a change to the tax code, the Section 174 language we’re all talking about was read by at minimum the (very capable) professional staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation and the CBO, for purposes of scoring the revenue impact of the bill.

The impacts of the Section 174 changes are in fact intentional, done to change said scoring. Whether or not they would be popular was not the point; all changes to the tax code are unpopular to someone. The point was to find a configuration of changes that could pass both houses at that time and get signed. That usually means a few big-ticket changes, and then lots of monkeying around with other things (like R&D) to offset those.


This is one reason why I think there should be a cap on the total volume of legislation (measured in pages). If you want to pass a new law, you need to repeal an old, obsolete one.

Nobody should be subject to a corpus of rules too volumous for them to read and understand.

It's absolutely unforgivable that legislators don't even read the laws they pass.


A version of this system was apparently implemented in Iceland - under the traditional law, once a year a designated person had to recite the entire law, and whatever he forgot to include was no longer the law.


There's a difference between unintended consequences from something like an n-order affect on the system due to complexity vs a clearly written piece and uncomplex rule in the law. The latter suggests that due diligence was not performed. Of these thousands of staffers, it seems nobody bothered to read and understand it. We can look to history on how bills have been passed rapidly after introduction, without enough time to read and think about them. This makes me feel like the people in power don't really pay that much attention and don't care for careful deliberation.

Sure, bugs happen. But in a system that holds immense power over people's lives, we should be striving for the level of bugs to be similar to life critical safety systems and not some glitchy business website.


The bugs are a feature. Insane complexity in the tax code creates room for legal corruption through special favors that no one understands.


That's the bug.


Just because they're not happy with it doesn't mean they had a better alternative.

It's easy to get a small change in when there's general agreement. But sometimes it's like immigration law --- few like the status quo, but there's no consensus on what direction to change it.


In general I agree. But in this case, their better alternative was the status quo prior to the change.


If it's the old status quo was that much better, it should be easy to get that one thing changed back. Legislation can be quick when enough people want it to be, and there's no mandatory business pending.


Can be. But small business don’t have lobbyist like the big businesses that likely dreamed this up and pushed it through to begin. They’re building moats, it’s what they do.


"It really says a lot about the system when the people who write code are not happy with the bugs they just wrote. It's almost like they could have, I dunno, read and thought about what they were writing. Just imagine all the other BS slipping through."

Just because you write, read, and understand anything doesn't mean mistakes don't get through. Should we never release any code unless it's completely bug free?




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