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>> Big assumption there about the economy not getting stuck in a depression. We're still raising interest rates. It's just the beginning.

On the contrary, the assumption seems to be on your part. You say "it's just the beginning" but the Fed has already been signaling that they will slow down and then cease the interest rate increases over the next several months.




"US stocks tumble after Fed chair warns of higher rates to come." Financial Times, November 2, 2022.


Raising by 0.75 and warning there will be more seems to go against your point, but I would be glad to be wrong.




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