>TikTok is most likely to become the first mega app
Why is this likely? Seems like it just does one thing well, and even that one thing now has serious competition from Youtube shorts (which are kinda better). Plus it's not cool anymore. Facebook seems to want to be a mega app but no one cares and it's just not happening because Facebook is a dinosaur.
Twitter very likely won't become Elon's X app, but I think TikTok is even less likely.
Elon has experience with Paypal. Payment and identity management is the core ingredient for an X app. Twitter gives him the user base, and he has overspent enough that everybody is aware of Twitter to easily acquire new users.
Somehow it became normal that big companies don't role out new features very often. That's not a given. Elon can reshape Twitter and turn its NASA-like development structure into a SpaceX structure. If Twitter runs like a startup it could be reshaped within months.
However, Elon could also create something like the Vegas tunnel which supposedly doesn't have the safety features to handle a fire very well. [1]
I highly highly doubt this. TikTok was a new idea and targeted young people. It has no brand value or widespread cultural support for it to be able to expand into other types of social media.
Pretty much every TikTok creator hates the monetization and many are shifting focus to YouTube.
Interesting. I was under the impression that YouTube creators hate the lack of transparent moderation and have been moving to other platforms - often, like TikTok.
Almost certainly not. Nobody can match Youtube's payout of 55% of revenue to creators, or come anywhere close to it; Tiktok's monetization model is both worse at the outset and destined to continue to get worse still over time (creators are paid fractions of a fixed pie, so with more creators, each creator's share diminishes). Tiktok also has a notoriously opaque moderation process that has a reputation for censoring much more aggressively than youtube (doing things like banning profanity, which has never been a problem on Youtube).
