No one knows what the hell is going to happen, the only certainty is that compared to the long slowly-eroded geopolitical and economic stability of the late 20th century for the capitalist world, black swan events are much more likely and their impact much greater.
The next few years may see Russia collapse.
Or Russia use nuclear weapons to prevent ceding Crimea.
We may see accelerated catastrophic climate change and knock-on effects like mass migration or as the Thai floods only a few years demonstrated, that knock out of critical infrastructure for our globalized economy is only one bad storm away.
We may see low-level domestic terror campaigns in the USA dressed up as "civil war" or,
we may see a de facto internal balkanization with erection of internal regulatory barriers to interstate commerce and logistics.
We may see China's economy collapse with calls for historically-enshrined dynastic change resulting in internal chaos.
We may see next-wave pandemics.
Or maybe none of these things and the ship rights and we sail quickly forward into renewed economic prosperity.
The next few years may see Russia collapse. Or Russia use nuclear weapons to prevent ceding Crimea. We may see accelerated catastrophic climate change and knock-on effects like mass migration or as the Thai floods only a few years demonstrated, that knock out of critical infrastructure for our globalized economy is only one bad storm away. We may see low-level domestic terror campaigns in the USA dressed up as "civil war" or, we may see a de facto internal balkanization with erection of internal regulatory barriers to interstate commerce and logistics. We may see China's economy collapse with calls for historically-enshrined dynastic change resulting in internal chaos. We may see next-wave pandemics.
Or maybe none of these things and the ship rights and we sail quickly forward into renewed economic prosperity.
No one knows, least of all Stanley.