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But only 60% voted in the last election, more than ever before. If 100% voted, we could assume all 23% would vote. Usually only about 50% ever vote in any US election, so I was giving the benefit of the doubt that voting numbers would remain high. 60% of 23% is 14%.



Statistics do not work that way. You can't simply assume being on Twitter and voting are uncorrelated.


I can draw Venn diagrams to make the same point.




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