50 buyins is pretty reasonable for an average (which means losing because of the rake) player for a year. You can plug in the numbers into one of the poker variance calculators. At 1 hour per day (60 hands), 10 BB/100 rake, NLHE 6-max cash games only, you get the 95% confidence interval of -5150 BB to 770 BB after 1 year.
Says who? Did you make this up?