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Let's get concrete: Q1'22 had 8.8k deals[0], which is 19% lower than last quarter.

>> How many deals do you think they will report for Q2'22? <<

I'll start, disclaiming that I have no domain or specific knowledge: 7.5k

[0]https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/venture-trends-q1...




There's reporting bias, where some deals are only disclosed/discovered later.


Do quarters vary, I mean maybe it's better to compare YoY?


Yes, they do. Q1: 30%, Q2: 20%, Q3: 20%, Q4: 30%

This is my internal stat over the last 15 years or so (since 2007), there have been a few exceptional years but overall it seems to hold. Q4 and Q1 of the year following usually have a lot of post holiday season deal making that then results in deals being inked either still in Q4 or in the first three months of the new year, then things slow down a bit while all the new portfolio companies are integrated and then the holiday season starts. So come September everybody is back in the traces and ready for a new batch.




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