Between developments like this (and Copilot [Is there a general accepted word for this class of things e.g. "AI Coders"?) and the move toward fully remote, I predict the mean software engineering salary in the United States will be lower in 10 years (in real dollars) than it is today.
I think this is a safe bet, but I would make it with or without the presence of AI Coders. We're clearly in the middle of Tech Bubble 2.0 and it's sure to pop in the next 10 years (and probably much sooner, given the recent crypto and NASDAQ rumblings).
People have been talking about tech bubbles for years, there might be a small financial bubble due to the money printing in recent years but I'm not seeing a big bust coming like dot-com. Tech compensation is probably more influenced by the discrepancy between locations. Once people figure out how to properly handle remote workers and remote teams (which is happening due to Covid), global compensations level will probably level out.
