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> It’s also showing a 2 dose effectiveness of over 70% against Omicron which we know to be under 10%

This isn't possible. If it were true, NYC would have collapsed during the Omicron wave due to bed shortages.




It would be possible if the hospitalization rate due to Omicron is also 7x lower than for the earlier variants. I don't have numbers in either direction, but given case loads rising everywhere yet recorded deaths remaining relatively stable, it's not a priori an impossibility.

(edit: just checked the UK's stats over the past month: infections have peaked at 200k/day, 5x the baseline rate over the past few months. Daily deaths have doubled but not yet peaked, suggesting Omicron has at most a 2.5x reduction in severity -- usual caveats apply, this is very coarse data, IANAE etc)




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