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The lockdown thing doesn't work as well as you'd think either.

We have nearly the world's toughest lockdown in Sydney, and weeks later the cases are higher than ever.

Same thing happened here in Melbourne last year, with "officially" the toughest lockdown in the world, for 120 days. It was absolutely miserable.

It eventually works - but the UK eventually saw a similar precipitous decline, along the same timeframe, while only relinquishing restrictions.

The only common thread is that in 5-8 weeks, the spike reverses and plummets, regardless of policy.

(Lockdowns may keep the spike much lower, along with the general spread. But I'm more interested in why they seem to have no effect on arresting or reversing the spread once it takes hold.)

Perspective: Aussie, plugged in, watching the West and India closely.




Probably these lockdowns were actually very soft "suggestions" that people didn't follow.

Until we find viruses capable of teleportation, quarantine will remain a very effective strategy.


The lockdown works pretty well in other countries. It's just people in Sydney being ignorant. There are still house parties and carefree people. The anti-lockdown protest didn't help, but it wasn't totally unexpected considering the incompetence of the NSW gov. A lot of Aussies don't want to get vaccinated too, which is an important part to reduce infections. I got my Pfizer shot months ago, because people either didn't turn up or cancelled.




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