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It is the tight integration with the current messaging application on the iPhone that will possibly kill sms. The average user does not want to go through some 3rd-party app to deal with their text messages. If an average user sees no difference in complexity between using ATT/Verizon sms and iMessage it seems obvious which one they would choose.



BBM is not a 3rd party app, it is a core part of the Blackberry OS.

So long as iMessage remains iOS only, I don't see it severely eroding SMS usage.




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