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You have a control group of unvaccinated people.



These people are starting to get vaccinated now though[1], which actually causes issues with the study.

[1]:https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/02/19/9691430...


That's the clinical trials, but it should be reasonably straightforward to do observational studies on COVID hospitalizations cross-referenced with vaccine status.

There are plenty of millions of people who haven't yet (or won't ever) get vaccinated to serve as a control.




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