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> The one time somebody tries to use some managed service that goes overbudget by 3000%, and the after action figures out that it would have been within the budget by using <open source technology> in EC2, they just do that instead

This impacts casual dabblers too. More than once I've seen HN comments on how someone is wary to experiment with cloud computing because a single screw-up can lead to an essentially unlimited bill. Judging by HackerNews anecdotes of when this does happen (unexpected overruns of thousands of dollars), there's a reasonable chance Amazon will refund you out of good will, but that's not enough to lay the fears to rest.

Linode let you pre-pay, for instance, but (to my knowledge) this isn't an option offered by Amazon, Microsoft, or Google.




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