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ECA_stax
on Nov 18, 2020
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Prediction Markets Beat Polls
lack of trust of polling. also there are risks of outing oneself as a Trump supporter in blue areas outweigh the risks of outing oneself as a Biden supporter in red areas.
Longwelwind
on Nov 18, 2020
[–]
538 has a rundown on why the Shy Trump Voters theory doesn't seem to exist in practice:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-supporters-arent-...
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