132000 cases per day, doubling every 30 days, would be about 328 million additional verified infections by the beginning of May. You may note that exceeds the total number of Americans who have not already tested positive, which gives a pretty good hint that model can't actually reflect reality for that long.
Additionally, the 10M number is the number of people who have tested positive, not the number who have been infected, which is probably several times higher than that even.
So yeah. I doubt we have even two more doublings ahead of us, at least as measured by hospitalizations (positive tests are a bad measure because early testing was very lacking). Less than one wouldn't surprise me.
Additionally, the 10M number is the number of people who have tested positive, not the number who have been infected, which is probably several times higher than that even.
So yeah. I doubt we have even two more doublings ahead of us, at least as measured by hospitalizations (positive tests are a bad measure because early testing was very lacking). Less than one wouldn't surprise me.