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> I respect FiveThirtyEight and their work, and I do think they're intellectually honest and generally speaking good at their jobs.

But 538 chooses how to weight the polls. For example, they only gave Rasmussen (which was far closer on these) a C rating, preferring less accurate polls.

FWIW, their articles clearly lean left [1], IDK if that affects their analysis/forecasts.

[1] https://www.adfontesmedia.com/interactive-media-bias-chart-2... similar to WaPo



Boy, that rear view mirror makes criticism a whole bunch easier, doesn’t it? :)




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