I believe my comment about halving mortality addresses this.

They're already likely to arbitrarily die - if in 2017 I could reduce that probability by half (coronavirus roughly doubles mortality across all age groups) by having everyone stay inside or perform the various rituals like standing far apart, wearing masks etc I wouldn't do it.

If instead of decreasing life expectancy by less than a year it were something like 10 (and so we went full hazmat, disallowing things like even entering a supermarket in favour of MRE deliveries) then the calculus would be different.

The main inescapable issue, which exists lockdown or not, is visiting elderly or immunocompromised relatives, not because of the absolute risk, but because of the impact that being able to say "my visit probably killed Grandma" would have.

Coronavirus may only double overall mortality, but having no hospital capacity would cause a further increase in deaths. We'd probably just end up in a real lockdown (shelter in place orders are not a lockdown) and have a bunch of extra dead people.

You could always get both.

I haven't seen another human other than through zoom since march 15th.

Meanwhile, my extended family, people I love, are ignoring isolation mandates and out and about, hosting gatherings, like normal. Many of them are seniors with chronic conditions that put them at high risk for covid complications / mortality.

I'm depressed as fuck staying home all the time and waiting for the inevitable as covid reaps my loved ones.

yeah I did maybe a little after march 15th till late may. around early may I found myself pacing around my apartment saying "this is bullshit" more than once per day. referring to the scenario itself, not the utility of the lockdown mandates - yet.

but I can definitely go two months without physical human interaction! video conferences, video dates, video for sake of video? CALL OF DUTY: WARZONE? all of those are chores to me.