> it's not clear that we would have incurred excess deaths due to capacity overrun. The biggest botteleneck is the presence of people on invasive ventilation
I think it is an important point. What is implicit in your comment but I think is worth reminding people is that the survival rate of covid patients under invasive ventilation is about 10%. If everything else could scale up, it means we would only increase the death rate by less than 10% if the ICUs would be overrun.
> it's not clear that we would have incurred excess deaths due to capacity overrun. The biggest botteleneck is the presence of people on invasive ventilation
I think it is an important point. What is implicit in your comment but I think is worth reminding people is that the survival rate of covid patients under invasive ventilation is about 10%. If everything else could scale up, it means we would only increase the death rate by less than 10% if the ICUs would be overrun.