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> for example, we have no idea what drives suicide rates.

This is a good point but I wanted to make it a bit more clear.

Across a population we have a good idea of the risk factors and of the things that increase rates of suicide: deprivation, abuse, substance misuse[1], previous self harm.

The bit we have no idea about is how to apply these to an individual person to see if they're high or low risk of suicide.

There are a load of different tools that input lots of different information and put out a risk rating, and none of them are as good as just asking the person "what do you think your risk is?"




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