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economics lectures i attended a decade ago indicated that china has already surpassed the US in gdp, but to give us face and to not decelerate their growth, china manipulates their numbers and monetary policy to keep up appearances that the US is still larger.

china has 4x our population and growing like a weed. it’s naive to think they haven’t/won’t/can’t eclipse the US economy. it’s another reason we should overhaul immigration policy to attract the world’s best minds while we still have the prestige to do so.




In publicly announced numbers, China has larger GDP by purchasing power parity. (I'm not sure if that's equivalent to your currency manipulation interpretation.)


yes, ppp gdp was largely on par a decade ago too. apparently that's not as worrying to american politicians and policymakers as nominal gdp, as it's nominal gdp being manipulated for appearances (besides monetary policy, the government apparently has enough tentacles into industry and regional accounting to do so).




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