Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

> good evidence that the Basic Reproduction Number is somewhere between 2-3.

May be about double that. Per wiki article, I noticed this a few days ago (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_outbreak_of_no...)

"Initial estimates of the basic reproduction number (R0) for COVID-19 in January were between 1.4 and 2.5,[381] but a subsequent statistical analysis has concluded that it may be much higher.[382]"

From that link wiki provided (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article) (edit: and note this is published on the CDC website)

"...we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9)"

So this sucks harder then.




Consider applying for YC's W25 batch! Applications are open till Nov 12.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: