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The cruse ship had 135 infected on February 10th, jumping to 634 on February 20th. So, most of those 700 are recent infections. The actual long term death total for the cruse ship is unknown, but should include people who died in their home country after returning.

The good news is assuming you trust China’s numbers new infections are down massively from a February 2nd peak. Deaths in China are also down significantly but less so, again assuming you trust their numbers.




I feel like the slowing infection rate in China (if it's actually true) is both very encouraging in the sense that it could show the virus actually is possible to contain, and also pretty scary in that so far the only measures that seem to be working at all are extremely widespread and draconian quarantines.


China was handling it after 2 months of spreading ( hurray censorship). This isn't happening anywhere else in the world.


Hard to tell if this is sarcasm, given that researchers just announced that coronavirus has been spreading undetected for 6 weeks in the Seattle area:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/coronavirus-may-have-sprea...


Not exactly sarcasm, but we will find out if bullying out high-ranking members of the CDC by the Trump administration was a bad move :)


> So, most of those 700 are recent infections

But the vast majority are less recent than February 20th. Almost all of them have been showing symptoms for longer than the average time to hospitalization.




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