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It depends. NB there are only 300 confirmed recoveries as yet, and figures from China are likely underestimates. It’s probably too early to tell mortality in the initial wave and often viruses mutate as they spread and become more virulent.

Still, hopefully mortality will be low and this will pass quickly, we are quite good at dealing with epidemics now. I suspect the economic impact may be important though if things worsen even a little and the lockdown continues.



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