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Usually halvenings cause a subsequent boost to the price per Bitcoin.



That's historical accident and wont(can't) continue to hold.


No that's simply supply / demand economics. Miners dump their mined Bitcoin on the market immediately after mining. When a halvening occurs, that means less BTC are dumped on the market daily. Assuming demand remains the same, prices will increase.


True, however many people are likely expecting this to happen and there are now many more methods to perform arbitrage on Bitcoin

That could soften this, it is more likely to be priced-in well before the actual event.




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