Home assistance and nursing assistant jobs require competence in a large number of highly varied tasks and many require human-style intelligence which is among the hardest to automate from our experience with AI research. (See Moravec’s Paradox.)
It will be at least a couple decades, likely longer, until we can really automate those jobs cost effectively, which gives us time to reconfigure socio-economic systems to suit the burgeoning new industrial revolution.
Check out the following predictions by a noted roboticist and former director of MIT’s CSAIL
Dexterous robot hands generally available. NET (Not Earlier Than) 2030
It will take at least a decade and often longer for a hardware product to become affordable to the masses. So we are talking about 2040 or later when most of home caring jobs will be at risk.
Even then, the need for human interaction will still be there so it is unclear if most elderly would not want human services if it is accessible to them.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/06/japan-robots-w... https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-5014079/15-000-ro...
I love technology, but honestly I find this terrifying. People aren't just going to be unemployed, they're going to be unemployable.
This how workers must have felt during the first industrial revolution, I'd say we're in the second one now.