Few things in life are more predictable than the chances of an incumbent member of the U.S. House of Representatives winning reelection.
They don't provide a number but eyeballing the chart, I think that number starts with a "9" over several decades, and is increasing. Here's an article that says it was around 96.6% in 2014;[0] it must be embarrassing to find yourself in the bottom 3.4 percent of any group.
(It also says House members are reelected more often than Senate members.)
I respectfully refer the gentleperson from Spooky to the following:
https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/reelect.php
Few things in life are more predictable than the chances of an incumbent member of the U.S. House of Representatives winning reelection.
They don't provide a number but eyeballing the chart, I think that number starts with a "9" over several decades, and is increasing. Here's an article that says it was around 96.6% in 2014;[0] it must be embarrassing to find yourself in the bottom 3.4 percent of any group.
(It also says House members are reelected more often than Senate members.)
[0] http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2014/nov/...