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If you can go short on either one, you can create any bet via a weighted + leveraged long/short pair bet. I think bitfinex allows this.



I would not do it on an exchange for two reasons:

1) Counterparty risk. Bitcoin exchanges go out of business way too often.

2) They have enough money to manipulate the market.


Could you clarify your second point? Would they manipulate the market in a way that is detrimental to you? Would it help that you were not their customer, but someone else's?




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